The Espírito Santo Senate race features two seats, with polling consistently showing Renato Casagrande holding a wide lead for first place while the contest for second remains fragmented among a dozen candidates. Recent July 2026 surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data place Casagrande at 24-32%, followed by scattered support for Sergio Meneguelli, Fabiano Contarato, Maguinha Malta, Evair de Melo, Rose de Freitas, and others in the single digits to low teens, with 20% or more undecided. This spread, combined with the open field of incumbents, former officials, and party-backed challengers, sustains broad uncertainty over who consolidates enough votes for second. Traders see limited separation until formal campaigning begins and later polls clarify consolidation or momentum shifts among the main contenders.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMaguinha Malta 48%
Marcos do Val 47%
Rose de Freitas 43%
Sergio Meneguelli 38%

Maguinha Malta
48%

Marcos do Val
47%

Rose de Freitas
43%

Sergio Meneguelli
38%

Leonardo Monjardim
38%

Evair de Melo
33%

Rodney Miranda
26%

Fabiano Contarato
26%

Callegari
25%

Professor Fabian
25%

Renato Casagrande
24%
Maguinha Malta 48%
Marcos do Val 47%
Rose de Freitas 43%
Sergio Meneguelli 38%

Maguinha Malta
48%

Marcos do Val
47%

Rose de Freitas
43%

Sergio Meneguelli
38%

Leonardo Monjardim
38%

Evair de Melo
33%

Rodney Miranda
26%

Fabiano Contarato
26%

Callegari
25%

Professor Fabian
25%

Renato Casagrande
24%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo Senate race features two seats, with polling consistently showing Renato Casagrande holding a wide lead for first place while the contest for second remains fragmented among a dozen candidates. Recent July 2026 surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data place Casagrande at 24-32%, followed by scattered support for Sergio Meneguelli, Fabiano Contarato, Maguinha Malta, Evair de Melo, Rose de Freitas, and others in the single digits to low teens, with 20% or more undecided. This spread, combined with the open field of incumbents, former officials, and party-backed challengers, sustains broad uncertainty over who consolidates enough votes for second. Traders see limited separation until formal campaigning begins and later polls clarify consolidation or momentum shifts among the main contenders.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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