**Trader consensus on the Elon Musk tweet-count market for September 14–16, 2026, centers on the 40–64 bracket at 51.5% implied probability, followed by 65–89 at 23.0% and sub-40 at 20.5%.** Recent three-day windows have frequently settled in these lower ranges, reflecting Musk’s variable cadence that often dips on weekends absent major product launches, regulatory news, or platform developments. Historical data show daily averages near 25–40 posts, with short periods swinging sharply based on engagement with Tesla updates, X commentary, or cultural topics. The tight clustering around moderate-low brackets captures this observed rhythm, while higher brackets remain thinly priced given the short timeframe and lack of catalysts expected to drive elevated reply or quote volume before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateElon Musk # tweets September 14 - September 16, 2026?
40-64 52%
65-89 23%
<40 21%
90-114 5%
<40
21%
40-64
52%
65-89
23%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
1%
40-64 52%
65-89 23%
<40 21%
90-114 5%
<40
21%
40-64
52%
65-89
23%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 12, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Elon Musk tweet-count market for September 14–16, 2026, centers on the 40–64 bracket at 51.5% implied probability, followed by 65–89 at 23.0% and sub-40 at 20.5%.** Recent three-day windows have frequently settled in these lower ranges, reflecting Musk’s variable cadence that often dips on weekends absent major product launches, regulatory news, or platform developments. Historical data show daily averages near 25–40 posts, with short periods swinging sharply based on engagement with Tesla updates, X commentary, or cultural topics. The tight clustering around moderate-low brackets captures this observed rhythm, while higher brackets remain thinly priced given the short timeframe and lack of catalysts expected to drive elevated reply or quote volume before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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