Databricks’ recent $5 billion funding round at a $190 billion private valuation, paired with revenue run-rate exceeding $7 billion and 80%+ year-over-year growth, underpins trader expectations for a sizable IPO. CEO Ali Ghodsi’s June 2026 decision to skip a crowded 2026 listing window in favor of 2027 has left the timing and public-market reception uncertain, producing near-even implied probabilities across $150–450 billion closing market-cap bands. Key swing factors include the pace of any S-1 filing, performance of peer AI offerings, sustained free-cash-flow positivity, and broader equity-market conditions entering 2027. The 23% probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027 reflects conviction in an eventual listing while highlighting execution and macro risks that could compress or elevate the debut valuation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateDatabricks IPO Closing Market Cap
Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap
$350B-$400B 97%
$250B-$300B 95%
$300B-$350B 95%
$200B-$250B 94%
BAGO
BAGO
Dec 31, 2027
<$150B
-
$150B-$200B
-
$200B-$250B
94%
$250B-$300B
95%
$300B-$350B
95%
$350B-$400B
97%
$400B-$450B
-
$450B+
-
No IPO by December 31, 2027
23%
$350B-$400B 97%
$250B-$300B 95%
$300B-$350B 95%
$200B-$250B 94%
BAGO
BAGO
Dec 31, 2027
<$150B
$18 Vol.
-
$150B-$200B
$18 Vol.
-
$200B-$250B
$18 Vol.
94%
$250B-$300B
$18 Vol.
95%
$300B-$350B
$18 Vol.
95%
$350B-$400B
$18 Vol.
97%
$400B-$450B
$18 Vol.
-
$450B+
$18 Vol.
-
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$272 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks’ recent $5 billion funding round at a $190 billion private valuation, paired with revenue run-rate exceeding $7 billion and 80%+ year-over-year growth, underpins trader expectations for a sizable IPO. CEO Ali Ghodsi’s June 2026 decision to skip a crowded 2026 listing window in favor of 2027 has left the timing and public-market reception uncertain, producing near-even implied probabilities across $150–450 billion closing market-cap bands. Key swing factors include the pace of any S-1 filing, performance of peer AI offerings, sustained free-cash-flow positivity, and broader equity-market conditions entering 2027. The 23% probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027 reflects conviction in an eventual listing while highlighting execution and macro risks that could compress or elevate the debut valuation.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
Volume
$416Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2028Binuksan ang Market
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks’ recent $5 billion funding round at a $190 billion private valuation, paired with revenue run-rate exceeding $7 billion and 80%+ year-over-year growth, underpins trader expectations for a sizable IPO. CEO Ali Ghodsi’s June 2026 decision to skip a crowded 2026 listing window in favor of 2027 has left the timing and public-market reception uncertain, producing near-even implied probabilities across $150–450 billion closing market-cap bands. Key swing factors include the pace of any S-1 filing, performance of peer AI offerings, sustained free-cash-flow positivity, and broader equity-market conditions entering 2027. The 23% probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027 reflects conviction in an eventual listing while highlighting execution and macro risks that could compress or elevate the debut valuation.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$416Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2028Binuksan ang Market
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Databricks’ recent $5 billion funding round at a $190 billion private valuation, paired with revenue run-rate exceeding $7 billion and 80%+ year-over-year growth, underpins trader expectations for a sizable IPO. CEO Ali Ghodsi’s June 2026 decision to skip a crowded 2026 listing window in favor of 2027 has left the timing and public-market reception uncertain, producing near-even implied probabilities across $150–450 billion closing market-cap bands. Key swing factors include the pace of any S-1 filing, performance of peer AI offerings, sustained free-cash-flow positivity, and broader equity-market conditions entering 2027. The 23% probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027 reflects conviction in an eventual listing while highlighting execution and macro risks that could compress or elevate the debut valuation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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