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What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

icon for What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
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What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

$1.25T–$1.5T 22.6%

$1.0T–$1.25T 20%

$1.75T–$2.0T 18%

$1.5T–$1.75T 15.3%

Polymarket

$62,224 Vol.

$1.25T–$1.5T 22.6%

$1.0T–$1.25T 20%

$1.75T–$2.0T 18%

$1.5T–$1.75T 15.3%

Polymarket

$62,224 Vol.

<$1T

$4,390 Vol.

8%

$1.0T–$1.25T

$7,129 Vol.

20%

$1.25T–$1.5T

$4,857 Vol.

23%

$1.5T–$1.75T

$3,395 Vol.

15%

$1.75T–$2.0T

$9,788 Vol.

18%

$2.0T–$2.25T

$1,998 Vol.

6%

$2.25T–$2.5T

$1,955 Vol.

4%

$2.5T+

$28,712 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s March 2026 close of a record $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchors trader expectations, with the company’s confidential IPO filing in June and ongoing internal debate over 2026 versus 2027 timing creating a wide distribution of implied probabilities across $1–2 trillion buckets. Strong revenue growth from ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise APIs supports premium multiples, yet persistent losses—reported near $1.22 per dollar of revenue in Q1 2026—highlight execution risks around compute costs and the path to sustained profitability that could compress or expand the IPO price. Competitive positioning against Anthropic and hyperscalers, plus potential shifts in tech multiples tied to interest rates and AI adoption metrics, remain key swing factors. The spread in current odds reflects uncertainty over whether OpenAI can command a $1 trillion-plus debut valuation or face pressure to list earlier at a lower multiple.

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.

The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.

Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.

If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.

If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,224
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s March 2026 close of a record $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchors trader expectations, with the company’s confidential IPO filing in June and ongoing internal debate over 2026 versus 2027 timing creating a wide distribution of implied probabilities across $1–2 trillion buckets. Strong revenue growth from ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise APIs supports premium multiples, yet persistent losses—reported near $1.22 per dollar of revenue in Q1 2026—highlight execution risks around compute costs and the path to sustained profitability that could compress or expand the IPO price. Competitive positioning against Anthropic and hyperscalers, plus potential shifts in tech multiples tied to interest rates and AI adoption metrics, remain key swing factors. The spread in current odds reflects uncertainty over whether OpenAI can command a $1 trillion-plus debut valuation or face pressure to list earlier at a lower multiple.

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.

The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.

Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.

If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.

If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,224
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 8 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "$1.25T–$1.5T" sa 23%, sinusundan ng "$1.0T–$1.25T" sa 20%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 23¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 23% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?" ay naka-generate ng $62.2K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong May 21, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?," i-browse ang 8 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?" ay "$1.25T–$1.5T" sa 23%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 23% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "$1.0T–$1.25T" sa 20%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.