Skip to main content

Para mag-trade sa US, pumunta sa polymarket.us

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Mundo·Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Mundo·Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Augusto Cury 52.6%

Renan Santos 25%

Ronaldo Caiado 9%

Pablo Marçal 2.3%

Polymarket

$1,009,834 Vol.

Augusto Cury 52.6%

Renan Santos 25%

Ronaldo Caiado 9%

Pablo Marçal 2.3%

Polymarket

$1,009,834 Vol.

icon for Augusto Cury

Augusto Cury

$124,651 Vol.

53%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$278,610 Vol.

25%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$114,466 Vol.

9%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$47,281 Vol.

2%

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro

Flávio Bolsonaro

$67,809 Vol.

2%

icon for Romeu Zema

Romeu Zema

$49,488 Vol.

1%

icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$48,886 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jair Bolsonaro

Jair Bolsonaro

$15,731 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tarcisio de Freitas

Tarcisio de Freitas

$16,773 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Bolsonaro

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$46,212 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aldo Rebelo

Aldo Rebelo

$9,865 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$4,083 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$20,815 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ratinho Júnior

Ratinho Júnior

$104,208 Vol.

<1%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$13,084 Vol.

<1%

icon for Geraldo Alckmin

Geraldo Alckmin

$11,811 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Leite

Eduardo Leite

$9,374 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fernando Haddad

Fernando Haddad

$23,204 Vol.

<1%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$3,481 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).**Augusto Cury leads trader expectations for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round due to his rapid polling gains as the main non-polarized alternative.** Recent surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and others show the Avante candidate, a psychiatrist and bestselling author with no prior elected experience, rising to 8–11% nationally and consistently placing third behind Lula (PT) and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), who remain locked in a tight contest around 37–46% and 29–45%. Cury’s support has drawn from independents disillusioned with the Lula–Bolsonaro dynamic, aided by television exposure and a centrist platform emphasizing fiscal responsibility and institutional reform. Renan Santos (Missão) follows at lower single digits in most polls, while Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) and Romeu Zema (Novo) register even smaller shares amid a fragmented field of lower-polling candidates. The market pricing reflects this recent shift in voter intentions captured by multiple pollsters.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$1,009,834
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).**Augusto Cury leads trader expectations for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round due to his rapid polling gains as the main non-polarized alternative.** Recent surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and others show the Avante candidate, a psychiatrist and bestselling author with no prior elected experience, rising to 8–11% nationally and consistently placing third behind Lula (PT) and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), who remain locked in a tight contest around 37–46% and 29–45%. Cury’s support has drawn from independents disillusioned with the Lula–Bolsonaro dynamic, aided by television exposure and a centrist platform emphasizing fiscal responsibility and institutional reform. Renan Santos (Missão) follows at lower single digits in most polls, while Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) and Romeu Zema (Novo) register even smaller shares amid a fragmented field of lower-polling candidates. The market pricing reflects this recent shift in voter intentions captured by multiple pollsters.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$1,009,834
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Kaugnay

icon for Matatapos ba sa ikalawang pwesto si Flávio Bolsonaro sa unang round ng 2026 halalan sa pagkapangulo ng Brazil?

Matatapos ba sa ikalawang pwesto si Flávio Bolsonaro sa unang round ng 2026 halalan sa pagkapangulo ng Brazil?

90%
Oo
icon for Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

90%
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?

88%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 19 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Augusto Cury" sa 53%, sinusundan ng "Renan Santos" sa 25%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 53¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 53% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" ay naka-generate ng $1 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Feb 11, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place," i-browse ang 19 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" ay "Augusto Cury" sa 53%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 53% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Renan Santos" sa 25%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.