The open-seat race for Federal District governor features a fragmented field of more than a dozen declared candidates, including acting governor Celina Leão (PP), former governor José Roberto Arruda (PSD), Ricardo Cappelli (PSB), Leandro Grass (PT), Paula Belmonte (PSDB), and others. Recent polls from institutes such as Paraná Pesquisas and Instituto Opinião show Leão ahead in first-round scenarios at 32–35% but without a dominant lead, while Arruda trails at 24–28% and remaining contenders split the balance. A late-August debate and ongoing party coalition talks have yet to consolidate support, leaving trader consensus reflected in closely matched probabilities across viable names. Runoff dynamics, turnout patterns in key districts, and any late shifts in alliances could widen separations before the October vote.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateFederal District Governor Election Winner
Federal District Governor Election Winner
Arruda 44%
Cappelli 44%
Celina Leão 44%
Expedito Mendonça 44%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 4, 2026
Arruda
44%
Cappelli
44%
Celina Leão
44%
Expedito Mendonça
44%
Paula Belmonte
44%
Professora Samara Mineiro
44%
Elisson
44%
Leandro Grass
44%
Professor Robson
44%
Kiko Caputo
43%
Arruda 44%
Cappelli 44%
Celina Leão 44%
Expedito Mendonça 44%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 4, 2026
Arruda
$0 Vol.
44%
Cappelli
$0 Vol.
44%
Celina Leão
$0 Vol.
44%
Expedito Mendonça
$0 Vol.
44%
Paula Belmonte
$0 Vol.
44%
Professora Samara Mineiro
$0 Vol.
44%
Elisson
$0 Vol.
44%
Leandro Grass
$0 Vol.
44%
Professor Robson
$0 Vol.
44%
Kiko Caputo
$0 Vol.
43%
The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The open-seat race for Federal District governor features a fragmented field of more than a dozen declared candidates, including acting governor Celina Leão (PP), former governor José Roberto Arruda (PSD), Ricardo Cappelli (PSB), Leandro Grass (PT), Paula Belmonte (PSDB), and others. Recent polls from institutes such as Paraná Pesquisas and Instituto Opinião show Leão ahead in first-round scenarios at 32–35% but without a dominant lead, while Arruda trails at 24–28% and remaining contenders split the balance. A late-August debate and ongoing party coalition talks have yet to consolidate support, leaving trader consensus reflected in closely matched probabilities across viable names. Runoff dynamics, turnout patterns in key districts, and any late shifts in alliances could widen separations before the October vote.
The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The open-seat race for Federal District governor features a fragmented field of more than a dozen declared candidates, including acting governor Celina Leão (PP), former governor José Roberto Arruda (PSD), Ricardo Cappelli (PSB), Leandro Grass (PT), Paula Belmonte (PSDB), and others. Recent polls from institutes such as Paraná Pesquisas and Instituto Opinião show Leão ahead in first-round scenarios at 32–35% but without a dominant lead, while Arruda trails at 24–28% and remaining contenders split the balance. A late-August debate and ongoing party coalition talks have yet to consolidate support, leaving trader consensus reflected in closely matched probabilities across viable names. Runoff dynamics, turnout patterns in key districts, and any late shifts in alliances could widen separations before the October vote.
The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The open-seat race for Federal District governor features a fragmented field of more than a dozen declared candidates, including acting governor Celina Leão (PP), former governor José Roberto Arruda (PSD), Ricardo Cappelli (PSB), Leandro Grass (PT), Paula Belmonte (PSDB), and others. Recent polls from institutes such as Paraná Pesquisas and Instituto Opinião show Leão ahead in first-round scenarios at 32–35% but without a dominant lead, while Arruda trails at 24–28% and remaining contenders split the balance. A late-August debate and ongoing party coalition talks have yet to consolidate support, leaving trader consensus reflected in closely matched probabilities across viable names. Runoff dynamics, turnout patterns in key districts, and any late shifts in alliances could widen separations before the October vote.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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