Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and other firms shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round intentions at 37-38 percent, with Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party (PL) in a clear second at 29-33 percent and all other candidates in single digits. This ordering has held through the campaign launch and party conventions in July and August, as right-leaning voters have consolidated behind the senator following Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility. Augusto Cury has risen to third in some surveys but remains well behind. The gap between the top two has narrowed modestly, yet the structure of support continues to favor Flávio Bolsonaro for second place in the October 4 first round.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateFlávio Bolsonaro 90%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 7.8%
Renan Santos 1.4%
Augusto Cury <1%
$6,517,772 Vol.
$6,517,772 Vol.
Oct 3, 2026
Flávio Bolsonaro
90%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
8%
Renan Santos
1%
Augusto Cury
1%
Romeu Zema
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Fernando Haddad
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
<1%
Eduardo Leite
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Flávio Bolsonaro 90%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 7.8%
Renan Santos 1.4%
Augusto Cury <1%
$6,517,772 Vol.
$6,517,772 Vol.
Oct 3, 2026
Flávio Bolsonaro
$610,572 Vol.
90%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$473,469 Vol.
8%
Renan Santos
$1,242,613 Vol.
1%
Augusto Cury
$143,331 Vol.
1%
Romeu Zema
$380,609 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$173,943 Vol.
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
$144,040 Vol.
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$219,348 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$453,391 Vol.
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
$229,171 Vol.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$207,849 Vol.
<1%
Fernando Haddad
$810,518 Vol.
<1%
Helder Barbalho
$20,972 Vol.
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
$274,555 Vol.
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
$205,331 Vol.
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
$750,154 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Leite
$142,390 Vol.
<1%
Tereza Cristina
$35,519 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and other firms shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round intentions at 37-38 percent, with Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party (PL) in a clear second at 29-33 percent and all other candidates in single digits. This ordering has held through the campaign launch and party conventions in July and August, as right-leaning voters have consolidated behind the senator following Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility. Augusto Cury has risen to third in some surveys but remains well behind. The gap between the top two has narrowed modestly, yet the structure of support continues to favor Flávio Bolsonaro for second place in the October 4 first round.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$6,517,772Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and other firms shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round intentions at 37-38 percent, with Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party (PL) in a clear second at 29-33 percent and all other candidates in single digits. This ordering has held through the campaign launch and party conventions in July and August, as right-leaning voters have consolidated behind the senator following Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility. Augusto Cury has risen to third in some surveys but remains well behind. The gap between the top two has narrowed modestly, yet the structure of support continues to favor Flávio Bolsonaro for second place in the October 4 first round.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$6,517,772Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and other firms shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round intentions at 37-38 percent, with Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party (PL) in a clear second at 29-33 percent and all other candidates in single digits. This ordering has held through the campaign launch and party conventions in July and August, as right-leaning voters have consolidated behind the senator following Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility. Augusto Cury has risen to third in some surveys but remains well behind. The gap between the top two has narrowed modestly, yet the structure of support continues to favor Flávio Bolsonaro for second place in the October 4 first round.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateKaugnay
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
53%
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
90%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?
88%
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