Lula’s commanding position in Alagoas for first-round first place stems from the state’s location in Brazil’s Northeast, where his PT coalition consistently draws strong backing among lower-income, Catholic, and older voters. Recent state-level surveys, including a July Real Time Big Data poll showing him at 51% versus Flávio Bolsonaro at 30%, align with national first-round trends from Datafolha, Quaest, and Nexus that place Lula in the low 40s against Bolsonaro in the mid-30s. Flávio’s selection of Alagoas deputy Alfredo Gaspar as running mate has not narrowed the gap materially. With the October 4 first round approaching and campaign season underway, late developments such as economic shifts, candidate health issues, or major scandals remain the primary factors that could realistically alter the current trader consensus.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLula 96.5%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.1%
Zema <1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
97%
Flavio Bolsonaro
1%
Zema
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Lula 96.5%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.1%
Zema <1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$4,273 Vol.
97%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$252 Vol.
1%
Zema
$236 Vol.
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$225 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$236 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$236 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$225 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$191 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$225 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$236 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$236 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$236 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$191 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula’s commanding position in Alagoas for first-round first place stems from the state’s location in Brazil’s Northeast, where his PT coalition consistently draws strong backing among lower-income, Catholic, and older voters. Recent state-level surveys, including a July Real Time Big Data poll showing him at 51% versus Flávio Bolsonaro at 30%, align with national first-round trends from Datafolha, Quaest, and Nexus that place Lula in the low 40s against Bolsonaro in the mid-30s. Flávio’s selection of Alagoas deputy Alfredo Gaspar as running mate has not narrowed the gap materially. With the October 4 first round approaching and campaign season underway, late developments such as economic shifts, candidate health issues, or major scandals remain the primary factors that could realistically alter the current trader consensus.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Volume
$7,003Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula’s commanding position in Alagoas for first-round first place stems from the state’s location in Brazil’s Northeast, where his PT coalition consistently draws strong backing among lower-income, Catholic, and older voters. Recent state-level surveys, including a July Real Time Big Data poll showing him at 51% versus Flávio Bolsonaro at 30%, align with national first-round trends from Datafolha, Quaest, and Nexus that place Lula in the low 40s against Bolsonaro in the mid-30s. Flávio’s selection of Alagoas deputy Alfredo Gaspar as running mate has not narrowed the gap materially. With the October 4 first round approaching and campaign season underway, late developments such as economic shifts, candidate health issues, or major scandals remain the primary factors that could realistically alter the current trader consensus.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$7,003Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula’s commanding position in Alagoas for first-round first place stems from the state’s location in Brazil’s Northeast, where his PT coalition consistently draws strong backing among lower-income, Catholic, and older voters. Recent state-level surveys, including a July Real Time Big Data poll showing him at 51% versus Flávio Bolsonaro at 30%, align with national first-round trends from Datafolha, Quaest, and Nexus that place Lula in the low 40s against Bolsonaro in the mid-30s. Flávio’s selection of Alagoas deputy Alfredo Gaspar as running mate has not narrowed the gap materially. With the October 4 first round approaching and campaign season underway, late developments such as economic shifts, candidate health issues, or major scandals remain the primary factors that could realistically alter the current trader consensus.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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