Recent polling for Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election shows the CDU in a narrow contest with the Left, AfD, and Greens, each near 18-21 percent, while the SPD trails further back. This fragmentation, combined with the five-percent threshold and variable seat allocation, produces the observed clustering around 30-44 seats. Incumbent mayor Kai Wegner's mid-campaign withdrawal as lead candidate and replacement by Stefan Evers has contributed to CDU volatility, as has the broader erosion of the current CDU-SPD coalition's support. With two weeks remaining, final turnout among swing voters and any late shifts in preference could still alter the CDU's projected seat total within the competitive range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateBerlin State Elections: CDU # of seats?
Berlin State Elections: CDU # of seats?
35-39 37%
30-34 30%
40-44 20.6%
25-29 10%
$34,150 Vol.
$34,150 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<25
2%
25-29
10%
30-34
30%
35-39
37%
40-44
21%
45+
4%
35-39 37%
30-34 30%
40-44 20.6%
25-29 10%
$34,150 Vol.
$34,150 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<25
$1,171 Vol.
2%
25-29
$3,358 Vol.
10%
30-34
$1,764 Vol.
30%
35-39
$4,171 Vol.
37%
40-44
$3,341 Vol.
21%
45+
$20,345 Vol.
4%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling for Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election shows the CDU in a narrow contest with the Left, AfD, and Greens, each near 18-21 percent, while the SPD trails further back. This fragmentation, combined with the five-percent threshold and variable seat allocation, produces the observed clustering around 30-44 seats. Incumbent mayor Kai Wegner's mid-campaign withdrawal as lead candidate and replacement by Stefan Evers has contributed to CDU volatility, as has the broader erosion of the current CDU-SPD coalition's support. With two weeks remaining, final turnout among swing voters and any late shifts in preference could still alter the CDU's projected seat total within the competitive range.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ET
Volume
$34,150Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling for Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election shows the CDU in a narrow contest with the Left, AfD, and Greens, each near 18-21 percent, while the SPD trails further back. This fragmentation, combined with the five-percent threshold and variable seat allocation, produces the observed clustering around 30-44 seats. Incumbent mayor Kai Wegner's mid-campaign withdrawal as lead candidate and replacement by Stefan Evers has contributed to CDU volatility, as has the broader erosion of the current CDU-SPD coalition's support. With two weeks remaining, final turnout among swing voters and any late shifts in preference could still alter the CDU's projected seat total within the competitive range.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Volume
$34,150Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election shows the CDU in a narrow contest with the Left, AfD, and Greens, each near 18-21 percent, while the SPD trails further back. This fragmentation, combined with the five-percent threshold and variable seat allocation, produces the observed clustering around 30-44 seats. Incumbent mayor Kai Wegner's mid-campaign withdrawal as lead candidate and replacement by Stefan Evers has contributed to CDU volatility, as has the broader erosion of the current CDU-SPD coalition's support. With two weeks remaining, final turnout among swing voters and any late shifts in preference could still alter the CDU's projected seat total within the competitive range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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