Recent polls for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election place Die Linke between 19% and 22%, reflecting substantial gains from its 12.2% result in the 2023 repeat vote. The party, led by Elif Eralp, has benefited from voter focus on housing costs and affordability while expanding membership, though several surveys show a modest recent decline amid internal controversies. Latest Infratest dimap and INSA figures cluster near 19%, with CDU ahead at 21% in one reading, while earlier Forsa and Civey data reached 20–22%. These ranges support trader emphasis on the 17–20% and 20–23% brackets as the most probable outcomes, with limited support for sub-17% or 23%+ results given the narrow polling band and remaining campaign volatility.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update17-20% 44%
20-23% 33%
<17% 20%
23%+ 7%
$36,362 Vol.
$36,362 Vol.
<17%
20%
17-20%
44%
20-23%
33%
23%+
7%
17-20% 44%
20-23% 33%
<17% 20%
23%+ 7%
$36,362 Vol.
$36,362 Vol.
<17%
20%
17-20%
44%
20-23%
33%
23%+
7%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election place Die Linke between 19% and 22%, reflecting substantial gains from its 12.2% result in the 2023 repeat vote. The party, led by Elif Eralp, has benefited from voter focus on housing costs and affordability while expanding membership, though several surveys show a modest recent decline amid internal controversies. Latest Infratest dimap and INSA figures cluster near 19%, with CDU ahead at 21% in one reading, while earlier Forsa and Civey data reached 20–22%. These ranges support trader emphasis on the 17–20% and 20–23% brackets as the most probable outcomes, with limited support for sub-17% or 23%+ results given the narrow polling band and remaining campaign volatility.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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