Argentina’s official USD/ARS exchange rate trades near 1,495 in mid-August 2026 under a crawling band regime that adjusts monthly in line with lagged inflation. With year-over-year CPI at 33.8% in July and monthly readings near 2%, the band’s expansion pace implies a controlled crawl rather than abrupt depreciation through year-end. Fiscal consolidation under President Milei, reserve accumulation targets tied to the IMF program, and export-driven dollar inflows continue to anchor trader expectations around the 1,500–1,700 zone. Recent data showing persistent but decelerating disinflation and steady central-bank dollar purchases reinforce the market-implied probabilities favoring outcomes below 1,700, while any sustained rebound in monthly inflation or shortfall in reserve rebuilding could widen the distribution toward higher brackets.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$21,601 Vol.
$21,601 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
<1600.00
44%
1600.00–1699.99
33%
1700.00–1799.99
7%
1800.00–1899.99
7%
1900.00–1999.99
1%
2000.00+
5%
$21,601 Vol.
$21,601 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
<1600.00
$2,450 Vol.
44%
1600.00–1699.99
$2,015 Vol.
33%
1700.00–1799.99
$2,198 Vol.
7%
1800.00–1899.99
$1,626 Vol.
7%
1900.00–1999.99
$11,566 Vol.
1%
2000.00+
$1,747 Vol.
5%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s official USD/ARS exchange rate trades near 1,495 in mid-August 2026 under a crawling band regime that adjusts monthly in line with lagged inflation. With year-over-year CPI at 33.8% in July and monthly readings near 2%, the band’s expansion pace implies a controlled crawl rather than abrupt depreciation through year-end. Fiscal consolidation under President Milei, reserve accumulation targets tied to the IMF program, and export-driven dollar inflows continue to anchor trader expectations around the 1,500–1,700 zone. Recent data showing persistent but decelerating disinflation and steady central-bank dollar purchases reinforce the market-implied probabilities favoring outcomes below 1,700, while any sustained rebound in monthly inflation or shortfall in reserve rebuilding could widen the distribution toward higher brackets.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$21,601Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s official USD/ARS exchange rate trades near 1,495 in mid-August 2026 under a crawling band regime that adjusts monthly in line with lagged inflation. With year-over-year CPI at 33.8% in July and monthly readings near 2%, the band’s expansion pace implies a controlled crawl rather than abrupt depreciation through year-end. Fiscal consolidation under President Milei, reserve accumulation targets tied to the IMF program, and export-driven dollar inflows continue to anchor trader expectations around the 1,500–1,700 zone. Recent data showing persistent but decelerating disinflation and steady central-bank dollar purchases reinforce the market-implied probabilities favoring outcomes below 1,700, while any sustained rebound in monthly inflation or shortfall in reserve rebuilding could widen the distribution toward higher brackets.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$21,601Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina’s official USD/ARS exchange rate trades near 1,495 in mid-August 2026 under a crawling band regime that adjusts monthly in line with lagged inflation. With year-over-year CPI at 33.8% in July and monthly readings near 2%, the band’s expansion pace implies a controlled crawl rather than abrupt depreciation through year-end. Fiscal consolidation under President Milei, reserve accumulation targets tied to the IMF program, and export-driven dollar inflows continue to anchor trader expectations around the 1,500–1,700 zone. Recent data showing persistent but decelerating disinflation and steady central-bank dollar purchases reinforce the market-implied probabilities favoring outcomes below 1,700, while any sustained rebound in monthly inflation or shortfall in reserve rebuilding could widen the distribution toward higher brackets.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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