Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) benefits from stringent constitutional requirements for justice impeachment, including a two-thirds Senate supermajority and recent procedural rulings limiting standing primarily to the Prosecutor General. These barriers, reinforced by Senate shielding of the court amid ongoing tensions with opposition forces and the Lula administration's legislative position ahead of 2026 elections, underpin traders' strong consensus against removal before 2027. Historical patterns show rare successful cases despite periodic requests, with the STF further tightening rules in late 2025 to preempt shifts. Still, a decisive opposition Senate majority after the elections, a major verified scandal, or coordinated legislative action could alter trajectories within the resolution window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update3% tsansa
$83,546 Vol.
$83,546 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
3% tsansa
$83,546 Vol.
$83,546 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) benefits from stringent constitutional requirements for justice impeachment, including a two-thirds Senate supermajority and recent procedural rulings limiting standing primarily to the Prosecutor General. These barriers, reinforced by Senate shielding of the court amid ongoing tensions with opposition forces and the Lula administration's legislative position ahead of 2026 elections, underpin traders' strong consensus against removal before 2027. Historical patterns show rare successful cases despite periodic requests, with the STF further tightening rules in late 2025 to preempt shifts. Still, a decisive opposition Senate majority after the elections, a major verified scandal, or coordinated legislative action could alter trajectories within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volume
$83,546Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) benefits from stringent constitutional requirements for justice impeachment, including a two-thirds Senate supermajority and recent procedural rulings limiting standing primarily to the Prosecutor General. These barriers, reinforced by Senate shielding of the court amid ongoing tensions with opposition forces and the Lula administration's legislative position ahead of 2026 elections, underpin traders' strong consensus against removal before 2027. Historical patterns show rare successful cases despite periodic requests, with the STF further tightening rules in late 2025 to preempt shifts. Still, a decisive opposition Senate majority after the elections, a major verified scandal, or coordinated legislative action could alter trajectories within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$83,546Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) benefits from stringent constitutional requirements for justice impeachment, including a two-thirds Senate supermajority and recent procedural rulings limiting standing primarily to the Prosecutor General. These barriers, reinforced by Senate shielding of the court amid ongoing tensions with opposition forces and the Lula administration's legislative position ahead of 2026 elections, underpin traders' strong consensus against removal before 2027. Historical patterns show rare successful cases despite periodic requests, with the STF further tightening rules in late 2025 to preempt shifts. Still, a decisive opposition Senate majority after the elections, a major verified scandal, or coordinated legislative action could alter trajectories within the resolution window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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