In mid-August, trader consensus around the 50.5% implied probability for under 7 million views on the week’s top TV show reflects the typical summer ratings lull, when linear and streaming platforms see lighter engagement amid vacations, reruns, and limited original premieres. Closely matched odds for the 7.5–9.5 million brackets highlight uncertainty over whether any single title—potentially a returning drama, reality staple, or sports-adjacent event—can break through with strong streaming metrics or Nielsen gains. Key differentiators include platform-specific performance data, social buzz around finales or debuts, and competition from theatrical releases or live sports. With the measurement window closing soon, late-week chart updates or unexpected breakout episodes could shift momentum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว# Views of Most Viewed TV Show This Week (Aug 10-16)
# Views of Most Viewed TV Show This Week (Aug 10-16)
<7m 51%
7.5m–8m 45%
8.5m–9m 27%
8m–8.5m 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
<7m
51%
7m–7.5m
25%
7.5m–8m
45%
8m–8.5m
26%
8.5m–9m
27%
9m–9.5m
24%
9.5m–10m
26%
10m+
24%
<7m 51%
7.5m–8m 45%
8.5m–9m 27%
8m–8.5m 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
<7m
$0 ปริมาณ
51%
7m–7.5m
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
7.5m–8m
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
8m–8.5m
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
8.5m–9m
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
9m–9.5m
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
9.5m–10m
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
10m+
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday).
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 10 - August 16.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).In mid-August, trader consensus around the 50.5% implied probability for under 7 million views on the week’s top TV show reflects the typical summer ratings lull, when linear and streaming platforms see lighter engagement amid vacations, reruns, and limited original premieres. Closely matched odds for the 7.5–9.5 million brackets highlight uncertainty over whether any single title—potentially a returning drama, reality staple, or sports-adjacent event—can break through with strong streaming metrics or Nielsen gains. Key differentiators include platform-specific performance data, social buzz around finales or debuts, and competition from theatrical releases or live sports. With the measurement window closing soon, late-week chart updates or unexpected breakout episodes could shift momentum before resolution.
Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday).
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 10 - August 16.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 10 - August 16.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 3:25 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 3:25 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#televisionResolver
0x69c47De9D...Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday).
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 10 - August 16.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).In mid-August, trader consensus around the 50.5% implied probability for under 7 million views on the week’s top TV show reflects the typical summer ratings lull, when linear and streaming platforms see lighter engagement amid vacations, reruns, and limited original premieres. Closely matched odds for the 7.5–9.5 million brackets highlight uncertainty over whether any single title—potentially a returning drama, reality staple, or sports-adjacent event—can break through with strong streaming metrics or Nielsen gains. Key differentiators include platform-specific performance data, social buzz around finales or debuts, and competition from theatrical releases or live sports. With the measurement window closing soon, late-week chart updates or unexpected breakout episodes could shift momentum before resolution.
Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday).
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 10 - August 16.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 10 - August 16.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 3:25 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#televisionResolver
0x69c47De9D...In mid-August, trader consensus around the 50.5% implied probability for under 7 million views on the week’s top TV show reflects the typical summer ratings lull, when linear and streaming platforms see lighter engagement amid vacations, reruns, and limited original premieres. Closely matched odds for the 7.5–9.5 million brackets highlight uncertainty over whether any single title—potentially a returning drama, reality staple, or sports-adjacent event—can break through with strong streaming metrics or Nielsen gains. Key differentiators include platform-specific performance data, social buzz around finales or debuts, and competition from theatrical releases or live sports. With the measurement window closing soon, late-week chart updates or unexpected breakout episodes could shift momentum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will the most viewed episode of The Five for the week of August 10 - August 16 have fewer than 3 million viewers?
26%
Will the most viewed episode of NBC Nightly News for the week of August 10 - August 16 have between 5.5 million and 6 million viewers?
48%
Will Monday be the most viewed day of The Five for the week of August 10 - August 16?
26%
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