The Pitt’s commanding 93.5% implied probability stems from its status as defending champion and record 25 nominations for season two, far outpacing the field in acting, directing, and writing categories. The HBO Max medical drama built on last year’s surprise win with strong critical reception for its real-time format, Noah Wyle’s lead performance, and broad ensemble support, positioning it as the consensus favorite ahead of final voting. Other nominees like Pluribus, Slow Horses, and The Diplomat trail significantly, lacking comparable momentum or precursor strength. An upset would require an unusually coordinated late shift among Academy voters toward a rival such as Pluribus, though the wide nomination gap and The Pitt’s established voter familiarity make such a reversal improbable this close to the September 14 ceremony.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วEmmys 2026: Outstanding drama series
“The Pitt” 94%
“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms” 2.1%
“Slow Horses” 1.9%
“Your Friends & Neighbors” 1.8%
$26,190 ปริมาณ
$26,190 ปริมาณ
“The Pitt”
94%
“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms”
2%
“Slow Horses”
2%
“Your Friends & Neighbors”
2%
“The Gilded Age”
2%
"The Diplomat"
2%
“Paradise”
1%
“The Pitt” 94%
“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms” 2.1%
“Slow Horses” 1.9%
“Your Friends & Neighbors” 1.8%
$26,190 ปริมาณ
$26,190 ปริมาณ
“The Pitt”
94%
“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms”
2%
“Slow Horses”
2%
“Your Friends & Neighbors”
2%
“The Gilded Age”
2%
"The Diplomat"
2%
“Paradise”
1%
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Pitt’s commanding 93.5% implied probability stems from its status as defending champion and record 25 nominations for season two, far outpacing the field in acting, directing, and writing categories. The HBO Max medical drama built on last year’s surprise win with strong critical reception for its real-time format, Noah Wyle’s lead performance, and broad ensemble support, positioning it as the consensus favorite ahead of final voting. Other nominees like Pluribus, Slow Horses, and The Diplomat trail significantly, lacking comparable momentum or precursor strength. An upset would require an unusually coordinated late shift among Academy voters toward a rival such as Pluribus, though the wide nomination gap and The Pitt’s established voter familiarity make such a reversal improbable this close to the September 14 ceremony.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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