Trump signed Executive Order 14409 on June 2, 2026, establishing a voluntary 30-day government review window for certain frontier AI models to address cybersecurity risks while explicitly barring mandatory licensing or pre-clearance requirements. This followed the shelving of an earlier draft amid industry concerns over competitiveness. Subsequent administration actions and statements, including a September 14, 2026, rejection of calls for additional limits, have reinforced emphasis on innovation, export promotion, and targeted enforcement against AI-enabled crimes rather than broad restrictions. Prior 2025 orders focused on removing regulatory barriers and advancing American AI dominance. Trader assessments of future restrictive orders reflect these patterns of limited intervention alongside ongoing implementation of existing frameworks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTrump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?
ใหม่
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
7%
October 31
40%
December 31
50%
$272 ปริมาณ
September 30
$268 ปริมาณ
7%
October 31
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
December 31
$5 ปริมาณ
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump signed Executive Order 14409 on June 2, 2026, establishing a voluntary 30-day government review window for certain frontier AI models to address cybersecurity risks while explicitly barring mandatory licensing or pre-clearance requirements. This followed the shelving of an earlier draft amid industry concerns over competitiveness. Subsequent administration actions and statements, including a September 14, 2026, rejection of calls for additional limits, have reinforced emphasis on innovation, export promotion, and targeted enforcement against AI-enabled crimes rather than broad restrictions. Prior 2025 orders focused on removing regulatory barriers and advancing American AI dominance. Trader assessments of future restrictive orders reflect these patterns of limited intervention alongside ongoing implementation of existing frameworks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$272วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump signed Executive Order 14409 on June 2, 2026, establishing a voluntary 30-day government review window for certain frontier AI models to address cybersecurity risks while explicitly barring mandatory licensing or pre-clearance requirements. This followed the shelving of an earlier draft amid industry concerns over competitiveness. Subsequent administration actions and statements, including a September 14, 2026, rejection of calls for additional limits, have reinforced emphasis on innovation, export promotion, and targeted enforcement against AI-enabled crimes rather than broad restrictions. Prior 2025 orders focused on removing regulatory barriers and advancing American AI dominance. Trader assessments of future restrictive orders reflect these patterns of limited intervention alongside ongoing implementation of existing frameworks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$272วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Trump signed Executive Order 14409 on June 2, 2026, establishing a voluntary 30-day government review window for certain frontier AI models to address cybersecurity risks while explicitly barring mandatory licensing or pre-clearance requirements. This followed the shelving of an earlier draft amid industry concerns over competitiveness. Subsequent administration actions and statements, including a September 14, 2026, rejection of calls for additional limits, have reinforced emphasis on innovation, export promotion, and targeted enforcement against AI-enabled crimes rather than broad restrictions. Prior 2025 orders focused on removing regulatory barriers and advancing American AI dominance. Trader assessments of future restrictive orders reflect these patterns of limited intervention alongside ongoing implementation of existing frameworks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย