Recent polls from institutes including Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap place BSW support at 3–4 percent ahead of the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, reflecting stable but sub-threshold performance since summer. The party’s first-time candidacy faces the standard five-percent hurdle for parliamentary entry, with undecided voters near 26 percent in late surveys and competition from the FDP and Greens for marginal seats. BSW candidates have emphasized opposition status and selective majorities rather than coalitions, while state-level internal adjustments have not altered national polling trajectories. Trader pricing aligns with this evidence that a result in the low-to-mid single digits remains the most probable outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Vote Share?
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Vote Share?
3-5% 65%
<3% 26%
5-7% 9%
7%+ 2.9%
$20,268 ปริมาณ
$20,268 ปริมาณ
Sep 6, 2026
<3%
26%
3-5%
65%
5-7%
9%
7%+
3%
3-5% 65%
<3% 26%
5-7% 9%
7%+ 2.9%
$20,268 ปริมาณ
$20,268 ปริมาณ
Sep 6, 2026
<3%
$11,690 ปริมาณ
26%
3-5%
$2,913 ปริมาณ
65%
5-7%
$3,375 ปริมาณ
9%
7%+
$2,290 ปริมาณ
3%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polls from institutes including Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap place BSW support at 3–4 percent ahead of the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, reflecting stable but sub-threshold performance since summer. The party’s first-time candidacy faces the standard five-percent hurdle for parliamentary entry, with undecided voters near 26 percent in late surveys and competition from the FDP and Greens for marginal seats. BSW candidates have emphasized opposition status and selective majorities rather than coalitions, while state-level internal adjustments have not altered national polling trajectories. Trader pricing aligns with this evidence that a result in the low-to-mid single digits remains the most probable outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,268วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 2:32 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polls from institutes including Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap place BSW support at 3–4 percent ahead of the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, reflecting stable but sub-threshold performance since summer. The party’s first-time candidacy faces the standard five-percent hurdle for parliamentary entry, with undecided voters near 26 percent in late surveys and competition from the FDP and Greens for marginal seats. BSW candidates have emphasized opposition status and selective majorities rather than coalitions, while state-level internal adjustments have not altered national polling trajectories. Trader pricing aligns with this evidence that a result in the low-to-mid single digits remains the most probable outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,268วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 2:32 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from institutes including Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap place BSW support at 3–4 percent ahead of the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, reflecting stable but sub-threshold performance since summer. The party’s first-time candidacy faces the standard five-percent hurdle for parliamentary entry, with undecided voters near 26 percent in late surveys and competition from the FDP and Greens for marginal seats. BSW candidates have emphasized opposition status and selective majorities rather than coalitions, while state-level internal adjustments have not altered national polling trajectories. Trader pricing aligns with this evidence that a result in the low-to-mid single digits remains the most probable outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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