Russia’s nuclear testing moratorium, unbroken since its last explosive test in 1990, faces renewed scrutiny following the February 2026 expiration of the New START treaty and reciprocal U.S.-Russian statements on resuming tests. In November 2025, President Putin directed preparation of proposals for possible nuclear explosive testing after U.S. signals about matching any foreign tests, though both sides have since emphasized ongoing diplomatic engagement for a successor agreement. Russia continues modernizing delivery systems such as the Burevestnik cruise missile and Sarmat ICBM through non-explosive launches and infrastructure work at sites like Novaya Zemlya, without crossing into full-yield detonations. Trader assessments of near-term testing therefore hinge on whether escalating rhetoric translates into action amid active arms-control talks and verification challenges.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$5,962,998 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
30 มิถุนายน 2026
1%
30 กันยายน 2026
7%
31 ธันวาคม 2026
13%
$5,962,998 ปริมาณ
30 มิถุนายน 2026
$4,600,182 ปริมาณ
1%
30 กันยายน 2026
$17,718 ปริมาณ
7%
31 ธันวาคม 2026
$20,525 ปริมาณ
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by Russia that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by Russia may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to Russia. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to Russia.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.Russia’s nuclear testing moratorium, unbroken since its last explosive test in 1990, faces renewed scrutiny following the February 2026 expiration of the New START treaty and reciprocal U.S.-Russian statements on resuming tests. In November 2025, President Putin directed preparation of proposals for possible nuclear explosive testing after U.S. signals about matching any foreign tests, though both sides have since emphasized ongoing diplomatic engagement for a successor agreement. Russia continues modernizing delivery systems such as the Burevestnik cruise missile and Sarmat ICBM through non-explosive launches and infrastructure work at sites like Novaya Zemlya, without crossing into full-yield detonations. Trader assessments of near-term testing therefore hinge on whether escalating rhetoric translates into action amid active arms-control talks and verification challenges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by Russia that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by Russia may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to Russia. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to Russia.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by Russia that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by Russia may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to Russia. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to Russia.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 31, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,962,998วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by Russia that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by Russia may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to Russia. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to Russia.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.Russia’s nuclear testing moratorium, unbroken since its last explosive test in 1990, faces renewed scrutiny following the February 2026 expiration of the New START treaty and reciprocal U.S.-Russian statements on resuming tests. In November 2025, President Putin directed preparation of proposals for possible nuclear explosive testing after U.S. signals about matching any foreign tests, though both sides have since emphasized ongoing diplomatic engagement for a successor agreement. Russia continues modernizing delivery systems such as the Burevestnik cruise missile and Sarmat ICBM through non-explosive launches and infrastructure work at sites like Novaya Zemlya, without crossing into full-yield detonations. Trader assessments of near-term testing therefore hinge on whether escalating rhetoric translates into action amid active arms-control talks and verification challenges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by Russia that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by Russia may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to Russia. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to Russia.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by Russia that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by Russia may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to Russia. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to Russia.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,962,998วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia’s nuclear testing moratorium, unbroken since its last explosive test in 1990, faces renewed scrutiny following the February 2026 expiration of the New START treaty and reciprocal U.S.-Russian statements on resuming tests. In November 2025, President Putin directed preparation of proposals for possible nuclear explosive testing after U.S. signals about matching any foreign tests, though both sides have since emphasized ongoing diplomatic engagement for a successor agreement. Russia continues modernizing delivery systems such as the Burevestnik cruise missile and Sarmat ICBM through non-explosive launches and infrastructure work at sites like Novaya Zemlya, without crossing into full-yield detonations. Trader assessments of near-term testing therefore hinge on whether escalating rhetoric translates into action amid active arms-control talks and verification challenges.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย