The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, with no verified diplomatic breakthrough or active negotiations producing a framework for territorial or security concessions, underpins trader consensus that a binding peace referendum will not occur before 2027. Ukrainian constitutional requirements for referendums on sovereignty issues, combined with sustained Western military aid and domestic political resistance to concessions, further reduce near-term prospects. Historical patterns of stalled talks and battlefield dynamics reinforce this view. Realistic shifts could still arise from sudden leadership changes in Kyiv or Moscow, major escalation or de-escalation on the front lines, or externally brokered proposals advancing to a vote within the narrow remaining window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
5% โอกาส
$63,449 ปริมาณ
$63,449 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
5% โอกาส
$63,449 ปริมาณ
$63,449 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, with no verified diplomatic breakthrough or active negotiations producing a framework for territorial or security concessions, underpins trader consensus that a binding peace referendum will not occur before 2027. Ukrainian constitutional requirements for referendums on sovereignty issues, combined with sustained Western military aid and domestic political resistance to concessions, further reduce near-term prospects. Historical patterns of stalled talks and battlefield dynamics reinforce this view. Realistic shifts could still arise from sudden leadership changes in Kyiv or Moscow, major escalation or de-escalation on the front lines, or externally brokered proposals advancing to a vote within the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,449วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, with no verified diplomatic breakthrough or active negotiations producing a framework for territorial or security concessions, underpins trader consensus that a binding peace referendum will not occur before 2027. Ukrainian constitutional requirements for referendums on sovereignty issues, combined with sustained Western military aid and domestic political resistance to concessions, further reduce near-term prospects. Historical patterns of stalled talks and battlefield dynamics reinforce this view. Realistic shifts could still arise from sudden leadership changes in Kyiv or Moscow, major escalation or de-escalation on the front lines, or externally brokered proposals advancing to a vote within the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,449วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, with no verified diplomatic breakthrough or active negotiations producing a framework for territorial or security concessions, underpins trader consensus that a binding peace referendum will not occur before 2027. Ukrainian constitutional requirements for referendums on sovereignty issues, combined with sustained Western military aid and domestic political resistance to concessions, further reduce near-term prospects. Historical patterns of stalled talks and battlefield dynamics reinforce this view. Realistic shifts could still arise from sudden leadership changes in Kyiv or Moscow, major escalation or de-escalation on the front lines, or externally brokered proposals advancing to a vote within the narrow remaining window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย