The Pernambuco gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 4 first round, with incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) holding a narrow edge over João Campos (PSB) in recent polling averages. Lyra's reelection bid benefits from her established state executive record and centrist positioning, while Campos draws support from his tenure as Recife mayor and ties to the state's traditional PSB networks. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register minimal support. The close implied probabilities in trading reflect the technical margins in surveys, high undecided shares, and the possibility of a runoff on October 25. Key upcoming influences include final candidate deferrals by the electoral court, coalition alignments, and campaign momentum in the state's largest voting blocs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRaquel Lyra 56%
João Campos 38%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$46,365 ปริมาณ
$46,365 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Raquel Lyra
56%
João Campos
38%
Ivan Moraes
<1%
Raquel Lyra 56%
João Campos 38%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$46,365 ปริมาณ
$46,365 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Raquel Lyra
$21,094 ปริมาณ
56%
João Campos
$20,209 ปริมาณ
38%
Ivan Moraes
$5,063 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 4 first round, with incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) holding a narrow edge over João Campos (PSB) in recent polling averages. Lyra's reelection bid benefits from her established state executive record and centrist positioning, while Campos draws support from his tenure as Recife mayor and ties to the state's traditional PSB networks. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register minimal support. The close implied probabilities in trading reflect the technical margins in surveys, high undecided shares, and the possibility of a runoff on October 25. Key upcoming influences include final candidate deferrals by the electoral court, coalition alignments, and campaign momentum in the state's largest voting blocs.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,365วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 4 first round, with incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) holding a narrow edge over João Campos (PSB) in recent polling averages. Lyra's reelection bid benefits from her established state executive record and centrist positioning, while Campos draws support from his tenure as Recife mayor and ties to the state's traditional PSB networks. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register minimal support. The close implied probabilities in trading reflect the technical margins in surveys, high undecided shares, and the possibility of a runoff on October 25. Key upcoming influences include final candidate deferrals by the electoral court, coalition alignments, and campaign momentum in the state's largest voting blocs.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,365วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 4 first round, with incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) holding a narrow edge over João Campos (PSB) in recent polling averages. Lyra's reelection bid benefits from her established state executive record and centrist positioning, while Campos draws support from his tenure as Recife mayor and ties to the state's traditional PSB networks. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register minimal support. The close implied probabilities in trading reflect the technical margins in surveys, high undecided shares, and the possibility of a runoff on October 25. Key upcoming influences include final candidate deferrals by the electoral court, coalition alignments, and campaign momentum in the state's largest voting blocs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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