Cid Gomes holds the highest implied probability for first place in Ceará’s October 2026 Senate race, driven by his incumbency, consistent polling leads of 23–26 percent in recent Quaest and Datafolha surveys, and alignment with the state’s governing PT-PSB bloc. Capitão Wagner trails as the leading opposition challenger, backed by União Brasil and Bolsonaro-aligned voters, while Luizianne Lins and a fragmented field of eight registered candidates split remaining support. Tight margins between the top two reflect Ceará’s polarized electorate and the dual-seat structure, with recent poll fluctuations and closed candidate registrations keeping separation modest. Late-campaign events such as debates, regional turnout patterns, or alliance shifts could widen the gap ahead of election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCid Gomes 55%
Capitão Wagner 26%
Luizianne 12%
Alcides Fernandes 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Cid Gomes
55%
Capitão Wagner
26%
Luizianne
12%
Alcides Fernandes
5%
Catarina Matos
4%
Reginaldo
4%
Guilherme Theophilo
4%
Lino Alves
4%
Cid Gomes 55%
Capitão Wagner 26%
Luizianne 12%
Alcides Fernandes 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Cid Gomes
$306 ปริมาณ
55%
Capitão Wagner
$174 ปริมาณ
26%
Luizianne
$41 ปริมาณ
12%
Alcides Fernandes
$40 ปริมาณ
5%
Catarina Matos
$109 ปริมาณ
4%
Reginaldo
$88 ปริมาณ
4%
Guilherme Theophilo
$86 ปริมาณ
4%
Lino Alves
$86 ปริมาณ
4%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes holds the highest implied probability for first place in Ceará’s October 2026 Senate race, driven by his incumbency, consistent polling leads of 23–26 percent in recent Quaest and Datafolha surveys, and alignment with the state’s governing PT-PSB bloc. Capitão Wagner trails as the leading opposition challenger, backed by União Brasil and Bolsonaro-aligned voters, while Luizianne Lins and a fragmented field of eight registered candidates split remaining support. Tight margins between the top two reflect Ceará’s polarized electorate and the dual-seat structure, with recent poll fluctuations and closed candidate registrations keeping separation modest. Late-campaign events such as debates, regional turnout patterns, or alliance shifts could widen the gap ahead of election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$931วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes holds the highest implied probability for first place in Ceará’s October 2026 Senate race, driven by his incumbency, consistent polling leads of 23–26 percent in recent Quaest and Datafolha surveys, and alignment with the state’s governing PT-PSB bloc. Capitão Wagner trails as the leading opposition challenger, backed by União Brasil and Bolsonaro-aligned voters, while Luizianne Lins and a fragmented field of eight registered candidates split remaining support. Tight margins between the top two reflect Ceará’s polarized electorate and the dual-seat structure, with recent poll fluctuations and closed candidate registrations keeping separation modest. Late-campaign events such as debates, regional turnout patterns, or alliance shifts could widen the gap ahead of election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$931วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cid Gomes holds the highest implied probability for first place in Ceará’s October 2026 Senate race, driven by his incumbency, consistent polling leads of 23–26 percent in recent Quaest and Datafolha surveys, and alignment with the state’s governing PT-PSB bloc. Capitão Wagner trails as the leading opposition challenger, backed by União Brasil and Bolsonaro-aligned voters, while Luizianne Lins and a fragmented field of eight registered candidates split remaining support. Tight margins between the top two reflect Ceará’s polarized electorate and the dual-seat structure, with recent poll fluctuations and closed candidate registrations keeping separation modest. Late-campaign events such as debates, regional turnout patterns, or alliance shifts could widen the gap ahead of election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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