The Ceará Senate race features two seats, with polls consistently placing incumbent Cid Gomes (PSB) in first and creating a fragmented contest for second among center-right and opposition figures. Capitão Wagner (União Brasil) holds the clearest edge for runner-up status at 44% on Polymarket, ahead of Reginaldo, Guilherme Theophilo, and Luizianne Lins, yet recent surveys such as AtlasIntel and Datafolha show these contenders clustered within single digits. Vote splitting among conservative and centrist voters, combined with Luizianne’s left-leaning base drawing from similar demographics, sustains the tightness. The August 15 candidate registration deadline locked the field, while upcoming campaign events, alliance announcements, and regional turnout efforts in Fortaleza and the interior could consolidate support behind one challenger and widen the gap before October voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCapitão Wagner 34%
Guilherme Theophilo 22%
Reginaldo 21%
Cid Gomes 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Wagner
49%
Guilherme Theophilo
22%
Reginaldo
21%
Cid Gomes
16%
Luizianne
14%
Catarina Matos
12%
Alcides Fernandes
10%
Lino Alves
4%
Capitão Wagner 34%
Guilherme Theophilo 22%
Reginaldo 21%
Cid Gomes 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Wagner
$748 ปริมาณ
49%
Guilherme Theophilo
$40 ปริมาณ
22%
Reginaldo
$40 ปริมาณ
21%
Cid Gomes
$100 ปริมาณ
16%
Luizianne
$40 ปริมาณ
14%
Catarina Matos
$40 ปริมาณ
12%
Alcides Fernandes
$82 ปริมาณ
10%
Lino Alves
$109 ปริมาณ
4%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Ceará Senate race features two seats, with polls consistently placing incumbent Cid Gomes (PSB) in first and creating a fragmented contest for second among center-right and opposition figures. Capitão Wagner (União Brasil) holds the clearest edge for runner-up status at 44% on Polymarket, ahead of Reginaldo, Guilherme Theophilo, and Luizianne Lins, yet recent surveys such as AtlasIntel and Datafolha show these contenders clustered within single digits. Vote splitting among conservative and centrist voters, combined with Luizianne’s left-leaning base drawing from similar demographics, sustains the tightness. The August 15 candidate registration deadline locked the field, while upcoming campaign events, alliance announcements, and regional turnout efforts in Fortaleza and the interior could consolidate support behind one challenger and widen the gap before October voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,199วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Ceará Senate race features two seats, with polls consistently placing incumbent Cid Gomes (PSB) in first and creating a fragmented contest for second among center-right and opposition figures. Capitão Wagner (União Brasil) holds the clearest edge for runner-up status at 44% on Polymarket, ahead of Reginaldo, Guilherme Theophilo, and Luizianne Lins, yet recent surveys such as AtlasIntel and Datafolha show these contenders clustered within single digits. Vote splitting among conservative and centrist voters, combined with Luizianne’s left-leaning base drawing from similar demographics, sustains the tightness. The August 15 candidate registration deadline locked the field, while upcoming campaign events, alliance announcements, and regional turnout efforts in Fortaleza and the interior could consolidate support behind one challenger and widen the gap before October voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,199วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará Senate race features two seats, with polls consistently placing incumbent Cid Gomes (PSB) in first and creating a fragmented contest for second among center-right and opposition figures. Capitão Wagner (União Brasil) holds the clearest edge for runner-up status at 44% on Polymarket, ahead of Reginaldo, Guilherme Theophilo, and Luizianne Lins, yet recent surveys such as AtlasIntel and Datafolha show these contenders clustered within single digits. Vote splitting among conservative and centrist voters, combined with Luizianne’s left-leaning base drawing from similar demographics, sustains the tightness. The August 15 candidate registration deadline locked the field, while upcoming campaign events, alliance announcements, and regional turnout efforts in Fortaleza and the interior could consolidate support behind one challenger and widen the gap before October voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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