Recent MrBeast main-channel videos have posted first-day view counts clustered in the 25–35 million range, establishing the 25–30M and 30–35M brackets as clear market leaders at 59% and 33% implied probability. Traders cite audience fatigue from frequent uploads, YouTube algorithm adjustments favoring retention over raw virality, and competition from the creator’s Beast Games series and MrBeast Gaming channel as the primary dampeners on day-one spikes. Earlier 2024–2025 peaks above 50 million have not recurred, while mid-2026 releases such as high-stakes challenge videos have stabilized around 33 million in the first 24 hours. With no announced release date or major teaser campaign yet, the next upload’s performance will hinge on thumbnail strength, topic novelty, and concurrent platform trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
25–30M 65%
30–35M 27%
20–25M 11%
35–40M 3.7%
$34,798 ปริมาณ
$34,798 ปริมาณ
<20M
2%
20–25M
11%
25–30M
59%
30–35M
27%
35–40M
4%
40–45M
2%
45–50M
<1%
50M+
<1%
25–30M 65%
30–35M 27%
20–25M 11%
35–40M 3.7%
$34,798 ปริมาณ
$34,798 ปริมาณ
<20M
2%
20–25M
11%
25–30M
59%
30–35M
27%
35–40M
4%
40–45M
2%
45–50M
<1%
50M+
<1%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MrBeast main-channel videos have posted first-day view counts clustered in the 25–35 million range, establishing the 25–30M and 30–35M brackets as clear market leaders at 59% and 33% implied probability. Traders cite audience fatigue from frequent uploads, YouTube algorithm adjustments favoring retention over raw virality, and competition from the creator’s Beast Games series and MrBeast Gaming channel as the primary dampeners on day-one spikes. Earlier 2024–2025 peaks above 50 million have not recurred, while mid-2026 releases such as high-stakes challenge videos have stabilized around 33 million in the first 24 hours. With no announced release date or major teaser campaign yet, the next upload’s performance will hinge on thumbnail strength, topic novelty, and concurrent platform trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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