Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X, often ranging from 15-30 tweets daily outside of major news cycles or company milestones, anchors trader sentiment around the 40-64 range for the Aug. 8-10 weekend window at 50.5% implied probability. With no imminent earnings calls, product launches, or political flashpoints confirmed for the period, the market prices in a moderate volume consistent with his recent baseline activity rather than the higher spikes seen in prior volatile weeks. The secondary 65-89 bracket at 23.5% and sub-40 at 22% reflect uncertainty over any late-breaking developments that could prompt reply chains or commentary, while longer-tail outcomes remain discounted given historical patterns for short, non-event weekends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว40-64 52%
65-89 24%
<40 22%
90-114 4.7%
$113,402 ปริมาณ
$113,402 ปริมาณ
Aug 10, 2026
<40
22%
40-64
52%
65-89
24%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 52%
65-89 24%
<40 22%
90-114 4.7%
$113,402 ปริมาณ
$113,402 ปริมาณ
Aug 10, 2026
<40
$22,592 ปริมาณ
22%
40-64
$12,764 ปริมาณ
52%
65-89
$10,965 ปริมาณ
24%
90-114
$16,106 ปริมาณ
5%
115-139
$15,193 ปริมาณ
1%
140-164
$9,339 ปริมาณ
<1%
165-189
$11,580 ปริมาณ
<1%
190-214
$3,943 ปริมาณ
<1%
215-239
$5,406 ปริมาณ
<1%
240+
$5,514 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X, often ranging from 15-30 tweets daily outside of major news cycles or company milestones, anchors trader sentiment around the 40-64 range for the Aug. 8-10 weekend window at 50.5% implied probability. With no imminent earnings calls, product launches, or political flashpoints confirmed for the period, the market prices in a moderate volume consistent with his recent baseline activity rather than the higher spikes seen in prior volatile weeks. The secondary 65-89 bracket at 23.5% and sub-40 at 22% reflect uncertainty over any late-breaking developments that could prompt reply chains or commentary, while longer-tail outcomes remain discounted given historical patterns for short, non-event weekends.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$113,402วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X, often ranging from 15-30 tweets daily outside of major news cycles or company milestones, anchors trader sentiment around the 40-64 range for the Aug. 8-10 weekend window at 50.5% implied probability. With no imminent earnings calls, product launches, or political flashpoints confirmed for the period, the market prices in a moderate volume consistent with his recent baseline activity rather than the higher spikes seen in prior volatile weeks. The secondary 65-89 bracket at 23.5% and sub-40 at 22% reflect uncertainty over any late-breaking developments that could prompt reply chains or commentary, while longer-tail outcomes remain discounted given historical patterns for short, non-event weekends.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$113,402วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X, often ranging from 15-30 tweets daily outside of major news cycles or company milestones, anchors trader sentiment around the 40-64 range for the Aug. 8-10 weekend window at 50.5% implied probability. With no imminent earnings calls, product launches, or political flashpoints confirmed for the period, the market prices in a moderate volume consistent with his recent baseline activity rather than the higher spikes seen in prior volatile weeks. The secondary 65-89 bracket at 23.5% and sub-40 at 22% reflect uncertainty over any late-breaking developments that could prompt reply chains or commentary, while longer-tail outcomes remain discounted given historical patterns for short, non-event weekends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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