Recent polling averages place the SPD at 27–29% vote share in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, down from its 39.6% result in 2021 that delivered 34 seats. This positioning reflects the AfD’s sustained lead near 35–36%, competition from the Left and smaller parties, and the challenges facing the incumbent SPD–Left coalition under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig. Trader consensus on 22–25 seats for the SPD as the modal outcome aligns with these vote-intention trends and standard seat-projection models applied to the state’s 71-seat parliament. No major late-campaign shifts have altered the pattern in the most recent surveys from July 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว22-25 62%
26-29 15%
18-21 10%
30-33 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
<18
5%
18-21
10%
22-25
62%
26-29
15%
30-33
14%
34+
1%
22-25 62%
26-29 15%
18-21 10%
30-33 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
<18
$602 ปริมาณ
5%
18-21
$251 ปริมาณ
10%
22-25
$1,028 ปริมาณ
62%
26-29
$251 ปริมาณ
15%
30-33
$95 ปริมาณ
14%
34+
$306 ปริมาณ
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling averages place the SPD at 27–29% vote share in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, down from its 39.6% result in 2021 that delivered 34 seats. This positioning reflects the AfD’s sustained lead near 35–36%, competition from the Left and smaller parties, and the challenges facing the incumbent SPD–Left coalition under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig. Trader consensus on 22–25 seats for the SPD as the modal outcome aligns with these vote-intention trends and standard seat-projection models applied to the state’s 71-seat parliament. No major late-campaign shifts have altered the pattern in the most recent surveys from July 2026.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,532วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling averages place the SPD at 27–29% vote share in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, down from its 39.6% result in 2021 that delivered 34 seats. This positioning reflects the AfD’s sustained lead near 35–36%, competition from the Left and smaller parties, and the challenges facing the incumbent SPD–Left coalition under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig. Trader consensus on 22–25 seats for the SPD as the modal outcome aligns with these vote-intention trends and standard seat-projection models applied to the state’s 71-seat parliament. No major late-campaign shifts have altered the pattern in the most recent surveys from July 2026.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,532วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the SPD at 27–29% vote share in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, down from its 39.6% result in 2021 that delivered 34 seats. This positioning reflects the AfD’s sustained lead near 35–36%, competition from the Left and smaller parties, and the challenges facing the incumbent SPD–Left coalition under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig. Trader consensus on 22–25 seats for the SPD as the modal outcome aligns with these vote-intention trends and standard seat-projection models applied to the state’s 71-seat parliament. No major late-campaign shifts have altered the pattern in the most recent surveys from July 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย