Recent polls place AfD support at 35-36 percent in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, well ahead of the SPD at 28-29 percent and a weakened CDU near 9-10 percent. This eastern state’s proportional system, combined with uncertain turnout among smaller parties and potential overhang or leveling seats, produces seat projections clustered in the mid-to-high 20s. Traders see limited recent movement in surveys, stable regional AfD strength, and coalition uncertainties as factors keeping probabilities for 24-27, 28-31, and 32-35 seats nearly even. Further consolidation of AfD leads or shifts in SPD/CDU performance could separate the ranges before voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว28-31 32%
32-35 30%
24-27 27%
20-23 25%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
<20
13%
20-23
25%
24-27
27%
28-31
32%
32-35
30%
36+
5%
28-31 32%
32-35 30%
24-27 27%
20-23 25%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
<20
$30 ปริมาณ
13%
20-23
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
24-27
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
28-31
$100 ปริมาณ
32%
32-35
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
36+
$161 ปริมาณ
5%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls place AfD support at 35-36 percent in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, well ahead of the SPD at 28-29 percent and a weakened CDU near 9-10 percent. This eastern state’s proportional system, combined with uncertain turnout among smaller parties and potential overhang or leveling seats, produces seat projections clustered in the mid-to-high 20s. Traders see limited recent movement in surveys, stable regional AfD strength, and coalition uncertainties as factors keeping probabilities for 24-27, 28-31, and 32-35 seats nearly even. Further consolidation of AfD leads or shifts in SPD/CDU performance could separate the ranges before voting.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$291วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls place AfD support at 35-36 percent in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, well ahead of the SPD at 28-29 percent and a weakened CDU near 9-10 percent. This eastern state’s proportional system, combined with uncertain turnout among smaller parties and potential overhang or leveling seats, produces seat projections clustered in the mid-to-high 20s. Traders see limited recent movement in surveys, stable regional AfD strength, and coalition uncertainties as factors keeping probabilities for 24-27, 28-31, and 32-35 seats nearly even. Further consolidation of AfD leads or shifts in SPD/CDU performance could separate the ranges before voting.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$291วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place AfD support at 35-36 percent in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, well ahead of the SPD at 28-29 percent and a weakened CDU near 9-10 percent. This eastern state’s proportional system, combined with uncertain turnout among smaller parties and potential overhang or leveling seats, produces seat projections clustered in the mid-to-high 20s. Traders see limited recent movement in surveys, stable regional AfD strength, and coalition uncertainties as factors keeping probabilities for 24-27, 28-31, and 32-35 seats nearly even. Further consolidation of AfD leads or shifts in SPD/CDU performance could separate the ranges before voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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