Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a minimum of 24–25°C for Tokyo on August 7 under mostly cloudy to clear conditions driven by a strong Pacific high-pressure system, which limits radiative cooling overnight amid above-normal seasonal temperatures. This setup, combined with Tokyo’s urban heat island effect and high humidity, favors elevated nighttime lows relative to the long-term average minimum near 23.9°C. Recent model consensus and observed heat persistence have shifted trader focus toward 26–27°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact cooling rates and potential for slight forecast revisions before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 7?
27°C 54%
26°C 41%
28°C 5%
24°C 3%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
41%
27°C
54%
28°C
5%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 54%
26°C 41%
28°C 5%
24°C 3%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
41%
27°C
54%
28°C
5%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a minimum of 24–25°C for Tokyo on August 7 under mostly cloudy to clear conditions driven by a strong Pacific high-pressure system, which limits radiative cooling overnight amid above-normal seasonal temperatures. This setup, combined with Tokyo’s urban heat island effect and high humidity, favors elevated nighttime lows relative to the long-term average minimum near 23.9°C. Recent model consensus and observed heat persistence have shifted trader focus toward 26–27°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact cooling rates and potential for slight forecast revisions before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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