**Strengthening northeast monsoon winds are the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–25°C for Taipei’s minimum temperature on September 9.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance and multiple model runs point to overnight lows near 23–24°C as northeasterly flow increases moisture and cloud cover over northern Taiwan, limiting radiative cooling while introducing scattered showers. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread due to uncertainty in exact wind strength, shower timing, and boundary-layer mixing, which explains why 23°C and 24°C each hold 33.5% implied probability while 22°C and 25°C remain competitive. Historical September minima near 24–25°C provide context, but the current synoptic setup favors slightly cooler readings without pushing probabilities decisively lower. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Taipei on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on September 9?
23°C 31%
24°C 31%
22°C 27%
25°C 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 9, 2026
18°C or below
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
5%
21°C
5%
22°C
27%
23°C
31%
24°C
31%
25°C
26%
26°C
6%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
9%
23°C 31%
24°C 31%
22°C 27%
25°C 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 9, 2026
18°C or below
$130 ปริมาณ
4%
19°C
$45 ปริมาณ
4%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
21°C
$17 ปริมาณ
5%
22°C
$61 ปริมาณ
27%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
31%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
31%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
26°C
$35 ปริมาณ
6%
27°C
$132 ปริมาณ
3%
28°C or higher
$25 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strengthening northeast monsoon winds are the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–25°C for Taipei’s minimum temperature on September 9.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance and multiple model runs point to overnight lows near 23–24°C as northeasterly flow increases moisture and cloud cover over northern Taiwan, limiting radiative cooling while introducing scattered showers. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread due to uncertainty in exact wind strength, shower timing, and boundary-layer mixing, which explains why 23°C and 24°C each hold 33.5% implied probability while 22°C and 25°C remain competitive. Historical September minima near 24–25°C provide context, but the current synoptic setup favors slightly cooler readings without pushing probabilities decisively lower. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$444วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strengthening northeast monsoon winds are the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–25°C for Taipei’s minimum temperature on September 9.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance and multiple model runs point to overnight lows near 23–24°C as northeasterly flow increases moisture and cloud cover over northern Taiwan, limiting radiative cooling while introducing scattered showers. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread due to uncertainty in exact wind strength, shower timing, and boundary-layer mixing, which explains why 23°C and 24°C each hold 33.5% implied probability while 22°C and 25°C remain competitive. Historical September minima near 24–25°C provide context, but the current synoptic setup favors slightly cooler readings without pushing probabilities decisively lower. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$444วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Strengthening northeast monsoon winds are the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–25°C for Taipei’s minimum temperature on September 9.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance and multiple model runs point to overnight lows near 23–24°C as northeasterly flow increases moisture and cloud cover over northern Taiwan, limiting radiative cooling while introducing scattered showers. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread due to uncertainty in exact wind strength, shower timing, and boundary-layer mixing, which explains why 23°C and 24°C each hold 33.5% implied probability while 22°C and 25°C remain competitive. Historical September minima near 24–25°C provide context, but the current synoptic setup favors slightly cooler readings without pushing probabilities decisively lower. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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