Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate mostly sunny conditions over Wuhan on September 8, supporting daily highs near 33–34°C under moderate easterly flow and low precipitation chances. Slight differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and surface solar radiation explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33°C, 34°C, and 35°C, as small changes in these variables can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines near 29–30°C underscore the current warm anomaly, while traders weigh the limited remaining model-update window before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 8?
34°C 30%
33°C 23%
35°C 17%
32°C 12%
28°C or below
4%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
12%
33°C
23%
34°C
30%
35°C
17%
36°C
6%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
3%
34°C 30%
33°C 23%
35°C 17%
32°C 12%
28°C or below
4%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
12%
33°C
23%
34°C
30%
35°C
17%
36°C
6%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate mostly sunny conditions over Wuhan on September 8, supporting daily highs near 33–34°C under moderate easterly flow and low precipitation chances. Slight differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and surface solar radiation explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33°C, 34°C, and 35°C, as small changes in these variables can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines near 29–30°C underscore the current warm anomaly, while traders weigh the limited remaining model-update window before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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