Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Manila's minimum temperature on September 13 will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius, consistent with September climatology of 24–26°C overnight lows under high humidity and light winds. Thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover, driven by the southwest monsoon, limit radiative cooling and keep surface temperatures elevated, while any clear intervals could allow brief drops toward 25°C. Trader consensus remains tightly clustered around 25–27°C outcomes because of small differences in model timing for precipitation and local urban heat effects, with the slim probability assigned to 19°C or below reflecting historical extremes rather than current atmospheric conditions. Official PAGASA observations and updated model runs will resolve the exact minimum.