Recent strong U.S. employment reports, including August nonfarm payrolls far exceeding expectations, have reinforced trader views of a resilient labor market and prompted upward revisions to Federal Reserve rate path expectations, supporting 5-year Treasury yields near 4.55% as of early September 2026. Persistent inflation above the 2% target, combined with comments from Fed Governor Waller on a higher neutral rate and diminished Treasury safety premium amid fiscal deficits exceeding 6% of GDP, has elevated term premiums and reduced prospects for significant near-term declines. Key upcoming catalysts include September core CPI data and the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, which could further anchor market-implied odds around current levels absent clear disinflation signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
ใหม่
Dec 30, 2026
Below 4.50%
61%
Below 4.45%
51%
Below 4.40%
50%
Below 4.35%
50%
Below 4.30%
50%
Below 4.25%
50%
Below 4.20%
50%
Below 4.10%
44%
Below 4.00%
37%
$0.00 ปริมาณ
Below 4.50%
$0 ปริมาณ
61%
Below 4.45%
$0 ปริมาณ
51%
Below 4.40%
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
Below 4.35%
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
Below 4.30%
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
Below 4.25%
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
Below 4.20%
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
Below 4.10%
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
Below 4.00%
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent strong U.S. employment reports, including August nonfarm payrolls far exceeding expectations, have reinforced trader views of a resilient labor market and prompted upward revisions to Federal Reserve rate path expectations, supporting 5-year Treasury yields near 4.55% as of early September 2026. Persistent inflation above the 2% target, combined with comments from Fed Governor Waller on a higher neutral rate and diminished Treasury safety premium amid fiscal deficits exceeding 6% of GDP, has elevated term premiums and reduced prospects for significant near-term declines. Key upcoming catalysts include September core CPI data and the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, which could further anchor market-implied odds around current levels absent clear disinflation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent strong U.S. employment reports, including August nonfarm payrolls far exceeding expectations, have reinforced trader views of a resilient labor market and prompted upward revisions to Federal Reserve rate path expectations, supporting 5-year Treasury yields near 4.55% as of early September 2026. Persistent inflation above the 2% target, combined with comments from Fed Governor Waller on a higher neutral rate and diminished Treasury safety premium amid fiscal deficits exceeding 6% of GDP, has elevated term premiums and reduced prospects for significant near-term declines. Key upcoming catalysts include September core CPI data and the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, which could further anchor market-implied odds around current levels absent clear disinflation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent strong U.S. employment reports, including August nonfarm payrolls far exceeding expectations, have reinforced trader views of a resilient labor market and prompted upward revisions to Federal Reserve rate path expectations, supporting 5-year Treasury yields near 4.55% as of early September 2026. Persistent inflation above the 2% target, combined with comments from Fed Governor Waller on a higher neutral rate and diminished Treasury safety premium amid fiscal deficits exceeding 6% of GDP, has elevated term premiums and reduced prospects for significant near-term declines. Key upcoming catalysts include September core CPI data and the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, which could further anchor market-implied odds around current levels absent clear disinflation signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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