Sagal Abdi-Wali leads trader consensus in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election market after former Prime Minister Keir Starmer resigned the seat on 1 September 2026. As Camden Council leader and a long-standing local Labour figure, she is the frontrunner for the party's nomination, with selection scheduled for 9 September. Labour has held the constituency continuously since 1983 and remains the heavy favourite despite recent local council results showing Green gains in overlapping wards. Green Party leader Zack Polanski's 3 September candidacy announcement has lifted that party's profile as the main challenger, though its implied win probability stays well below Labour's. Other declared or speculated names, including several independents and minor-party candidates, trade at far lower levels pending final nominations and the writ. The by-election is expected in October once procedural steps conclude.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSagal Abdi-Wali 64%
Zack Polanski 25%
David Stansell 5.5%
Pat Callaghan 5.4%
$13,565 ปริมาณ
$13,565 ปริมาณ
Sagal Abdi-Wali
64%
Zack Polanski
25%
David Stansell
6%
Pat Callaghan
5%
Gio Spinella
3%
Richard Olszewski
3%
Andrew Feinstein
2%
Tricia Leman
2%
Hamza Chowdhury
2%
Adam Harrison
2%
Sarah Hayward
2%
James White
2%
Lorna Jane Russell
1%
Keith Moffitt
1%
Luisa Porritt
1%
Georgia Gould
1%
Jim Monahan
1%
Siân Berry
1%
Mehreen Malik
1%
Charlie Clinton
<1%
Oliver Cooper
<1%
David Roberts
<1%
Sarah Pochin
<1%
Sagal Abdi-Wali 64%
Zack Polanski 25%
David Stansell 5.5%
Pat Callaghan 5.4%
$13,565 ปริมาณ
$13,565 ปริมาณ
Sagal Abdi-Wali
64%
Zack Polanski
25%
David Stansell
6%
Pat Callaghan
5%
Gio Spinella
3%
Richard Olszewski
3%
Andrew Feinstein
2%
Tricia Leman
2%
Hamza Chowdhury
2%
Adam Harrison
2%
Sarah Hayward
2%
James White
2%
Lorna Jane Russell
1%
Keith Moffitt
1%
Luisa Porritt
1%
Georgia Gould
1%
Jim Monahan
1%
Siân Berry
1%
Mehreen Malik
1%
Charlie Clinton
<1%
Oliver Cooper
<1%
David Roberts
<1%
Sarah Pochin
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Sagal Abdi-Wali leads trader consensus in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election market after former Prime Minister Keir Starmer resigned the seat on 1 September 2026. As Camden Council leader and a long-standing local Labour figure, she is the frontrunner for the party's nomination, with selection scheduled for 9 September. Labour has held the constituency continuously since 1983 and remains the heavy favourite despite recent local council results showing Green gains in overlapping wards. Green Party leader Zack Polanski's 3 September candidacy announcement has lifted that party's profile as the main challenger, though its implied win probability stays well below Labour's. Other declared or speculated names, including several independents and minor-party candidates, trade at far lower levels pending final nominations and the writ. The by-election is expected in October once procedural steps conclude.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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