**Forecast models and observations point to a maximum temperature in Warsaw on September 17, 2026, centered around 18–20 °C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 19 °C (53.5 %), 18 °C (33 %), and 20 °C (12.5 %).** Widespread cloud cover, light showers or drizzle, and moderate westerly winds are suppressing daytime heating, consistent with official guidance from sources such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology and global models (GFS, ECMWF). September climatology for Warsaw shows typical highs near 16–19 °C; today’s pattern features higher humidity and reduced solar insolation compared with the clearer, warmer conditions on September 16 (when readings reached 24–25 °C). Recent model runs have converged on this narrow range, with only minor differences in timing of any brief clearing that could allow a brief spike toward 20 °C. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of rain (often 70–98 % in forecasts) and persistent stratiform clouds against the slim chance of partial afternoon sun, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around the observed forecast consensus. Updated short-range guidance later today could refine the exact peak if skies briefly clear.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 17?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 17?
19°C 54%
18°C 35%
20°C 12%
21°C <1%
ใหม่
$22,373 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$22,373 ปริมาณ
Sep 17, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
35%
19°C
54%
20°C
12%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
19°C 54%
18°C 35%
20°C 12%
21°C <1%
ใหม่
$22,373 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$22,373 ปริมาณ
Sep 17, 2026
12°C or below
$1,423 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$183 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$143 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$307 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$300 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$11,651 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$2,591 ปริมาณ
35%
19°C
$3,159 ปริมาณ
54%
20°C
$1,700 ปริมาณ
12%
21°C
$477 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C or higher
$439 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observations point to a maximum temperature in Warsaw on September 17, 2026, centered around 18–20 °C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 19 °C (53.5 %), 18 °C (33 %), and 20 °C (12.5 %).** Widespread cloud cover, light showers or drizzle, and moderate westerly winds are suppressing daytime heating, consistent with official guidance from sources such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology and global models (GFS, ECMWF).
September climatology for Warsaw shows typical highs near 16–19 °C; today’s pattern features higher humidity and reduced solar insolation compared with the clearer, warmer conditions on September 16 (when readings reached 24–25 °C). Recent model runs have converged on this narrow range, with only minor differences in timing of any brief clearing that could allow a brief spike toward 20 °C.
Traders appear to weigh the high probability of rain (often 70–98 % in forecasts) and persistent stratiform clouds against the slim chance of partial afternoon sun, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around the observed forecast consensus. Updated short-range guidance later today could refine the exact peak if skies briefly clear.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,373วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observations point to a maximum temperature in Warsaw on September 17, 2026, centered around 18–20 °C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 19 °C (53.5 %), 18 °C (33 %), and 20 °C (12.5 %).** Widespread cloud cover, light showers or drizzle, and moderate westerly winds are suppressing daytime heating, consistent with official guidance from sources such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology and global models (GFS, ECMWF).
September climatology for Warsaw shows typical highs near 16–19 °C; today’s pattern features higher humidity and reduced solar insolation compared with the clearer, warmer conditions on September 16 (when readings reached 24–25 °C). Recent model runs have converged on this narrow range, with only minor differences in timing of any brief clearing that could allow a brief spike toward 20 °C.
Traders appear to weigh the high probability of rain (often 70–98 % in forecasts) and persistent stratiform clouds against the slim chance of partial afternoon sun, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around the observed forecast consensus. Updated short-range guidance later today could refine the exact peak if skies briefly clear.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,373วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and observations point to a maximum temperature in Warsaw on September 17, 2026, centered around 18–20 °C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 19 °C (53.5 %), 18 °C (33 %), and 20 °C (12.5 %).** Widespread cloud cover, light showers or drizzle, and moderate westerly winds are suppressing daytime heating, consistent with official guidance from sources such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology and global models (GFS, ECMWF). September climatology for Warsaw shows typical highs near 16–19 °C; today’s pattern features higher humidity and reduced solar insolation compared with the clearer, warmer conditions on September 16 (when readings reached 24–25 °C). Recent model runs have converged on this narrow range, with only minor differences in timing of any brief clearing that could allow a brief spike toward 20 °C. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of rain (often 70–98 % in forecasts) and persistent stratiform clouds against the slim chance of partial afternoon sun, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around the observed forecast consensus. Updated short-range guidance later today could refine the exact peak if skies briefly clear.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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