Trader sentiment for Taipei’s peak temperature on July 22 centers on official Central Weather Administration guidance showing a forecast high near 35°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 40-60% chance of afternoon thundershowers. Ensemble model runs exhibit modest spread due to typical July variability in monsoon moisture and urban heat retention, keeping 35°C and 36°C outcomes closely matched at 28% and 23% implied probability. Recent typhoon activity earlier in the month has left residual moisture that could either suppress or enhance daytime heating depending on exact cloud timing, while climatological baselines place late-July maxima around 33–34°C with occasional excursions above 35°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution between these two leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Taipei on July 22?
Highest temperature in Taipei on July 22?
35°C 43%
36°C 25%
34°C 20%
37°C or higher 6%
ใหม่
$27,383 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$27,383 ปริมาณ
Jul 22, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
20%
35°C
43%
36°C
25%
37°C or higher
6%
35°C 43%
36°C 25%
34°C 20%
37°C or higher 6%
ใหม่
$27,383 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$27,383 ปริมาณ
Jul 22, 2026
27°C or below
$189 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$120 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$480 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$1,208 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$2,695 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$5,052 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$3,184 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$1,260 ปริมาณ
20%
35°C
$7,074 ปริมาณ
43%
36°C
$4,152 ปริมาณ
25%
37°C or higher
$1,968 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Taipei’s peak temperature on July 22 centers on official Central Weather Administration guidance showing a forecast high near 35°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 40-60% chance of afternoon thundershowers. Ensemble model runs exhibit modest spread due to typical July variability in monsoon moisture and urban heat retention, keeping 35°C and 36°C outcomes closely matched at 28% and 23% implied probability. Recent typhoon activity earlier in the month has left residual moisture that could either suppress or enhance daytime heating depending on exact cloud timing, while climatological baselines place late-July maxima around 33–34°C with occasional excursions above 35°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution between these two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 20, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,383วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 12:11 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Taipei’s peak temperature on July 22 centers on official Central Weather Administration guidance showing a forecast high near 35°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 40-60% chance of afternoon thundershowers. Ensemble model runs exhibit modest spread due to typical July variability in monsoon moisture and urban heat retention, keeping 35°C and 36°C outcomes closely matched at 28% and 23% implied probability. Recent typhoon activity earlier in the month has left residual moisture that could either suppress or enhance daytime heating depending on exact cloud timing, while climatological baselines place late-July maxima around 33–34°C with occasional excursions above 35°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution between these two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,383วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 12:11 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Taipei’s peak temperature on July 22 centers on official Central Weather Administration guidance showing a forecast high near 35°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 40-60% chance of afternoon thundershowers. Ensemble model runs exhibit modest spread due to typical July variability in monsoon moisture and urban heat retention, keeping 35°C and 36°C outcomes closely matched at 28% and 23% implied probability. Recent typhoon activity earlier in the month has left residual moisture that could either suppress or enhance daytime heating depending on exact cloud timing, while climatological baselines place late-July maxima around 33–34°C with occasional excursions above 35°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution between these two leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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