Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and global ensembles indicate a primary driver of trader sentiment: increased cloud cover and a 30-85% chance of light rain or thunderstorms on September 20, which should moderate daytime heating and favor highs clustered around 22-25°C. Key variables include northwesterly wind shifts that could enhance or suppress mixing, regional pressure gradients from a continental low, and model spread in precipitation timing that creates uncertainty between sub-22°C outcomes (if persistent overcast dominates) and 26°C-plus scenarios (if clearer breaks allow more insolation). Historical September averages near 23°C provide baseline context, but current spring conditions amplify sensitivity to these short-term atmospheric factors ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 20?
21°C or below 32%
22°C 17%
23°C 16%
24°C 15%
21°C or below
32%
22°C
17%
23°C
16%
24°C
15%
25°C
10%
26°C
8%
27°C
7%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 32%
22°C 17%
23°C 16%
24°C 15%
21°C or below
32%
22°C
17%
23°C
16%
24°C
15%
25°C
10%
26°C
8%
27°C
7%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and global ensembles indicate a primary driver of trader sentiment: increased cloud cover and a 30-85% chance of light rain or thunderstorms on September 20, which should moderate daytime heating and favor highs clustered around 22-25°C. Key variables include northwesterly wind shifts that could enhance or suppress mixing, regional pressure gradients from a continental low, and model spread in precipitation timing that creates uncertainty between sub-22°C outcomes (if persistent overcast dominates) and 26°C-plus scenarios (if clearer breaks allow more insolation). Historical September averages near 23°C provide baseline context, but current spring conditions amplify sensitivity to these short-term atmospheric factors ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย