Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a high near 70–71°F in San Francisco on August 12 due to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow from the cool Pacific, which limits afternoon heating and aligns closely with trader consensus on the leading bin. Typical August climatology centers near 69°F at KSFO, with the cool, upwelled coastal waters and frequent low clouds or fog suppressing warmer outcomes above 73°F. Recent model runs show little deviation from this narrow range, though any weakening of the marine layer or shift in wind patterns could allow slight warming. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will provide the next key data points ahead of official daily high confirmation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 12?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 12?
70-71°F 43%
68-69°F 27%
72-73°F 21%
66-67°F 6%
ใหม่
$17,167 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$17,167 ปริมาณ
Aug 12, 2026
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
43%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 43%
68-69°F 27%
72-73°F 21%
66-67°F 6%
ใหม่
$17,167 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$17,167 ปริมาณ
Aug 12, 2026
63°F or below
$417 ปริมาณ
1%
64-65°F
$1,256 ปริมาณ
1%
66-67°F
$1,040 ปริมาณ
6%
68-69°F
$2,907 ปริมาณ
27%
70-71°F
$4,001 ปริมาณ
43%
72-73°F
$1,270 ปริมาณ
21%
74-75°F
$1,227 ปริมาณ
4%
76-77°F
$2,289 ปริมาณ
<1%
78-79°F
$1,994 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-81°F
$381 ปริมาณ
<1%
82°F or higher
$386 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a high near 70–71°F in San Francisco on August 12 due to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow from the cool Pacific, which limits afternoon heating and aligns closely with trader consensus on the leading bin. Typical August climatology centers near 69°F at KSFO, with the cool, upwelled coastal waters and frequent low clouds or fog suppressing warmer outcomes above 73°F. Recent model runs show little deviation from this narrow range, though any weakening of the marine layer or shift in wind patterns could allow slight warming. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will provide the next key data points ahead of official daily high confirmation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,167วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a high near 70–71°F in San Francisco on August 12 due to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow from the cool Pacific, which limits afternoon heating and aligns closely with trader consensus on the leading bin. Typical August climatology centers near 69°F at KSFO, with the cool, upwelled coastal waters and frequent low clouds or fog suppressing warmer outcomes above 73°F. Recent model runs show little deviation from this narrow range, though any weakening of the marine layer or shift in wind patterns could allow slight warming. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will provide the next key data points ahead of official daily high confirmation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,167วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a high near 70–71°F in San Francisco on August 12 due to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow from the cool Pacific, which limits afternoon heating and aligns closely with trader consensus on the leading bin. Typical August climatology centers near 69°F at KSFO, with the cool, upwelled coastal waters and frequent low clouds or fog suppressing warmer outcomes above 73°F. Recent model runs show little deviation from this narrow range, though any weakening of the marine layer or shift in wind patterns could allow slight warming. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will provide the next key data points ahead of official daily high confirmation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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