**Consensus forecasts from Météo-France, GFS, and ECMWF point to a daytime maximum of 22–23°C in Paris on September 17, 2026, supported by the arrival of cooler northwest maritime air and increased cloud cover that limits surface heating.** This follows a warmer September 15 peak near 31°C and aligns closely with the late-September climatological average high of roughly 21.4°C at stations like Paris-Le Bourget. Light to moderate southwesterly winds, partly cloudy to overcast skies, and low precipitation chances (under 20–30%) further constrain the diurnal range, keeping values near or slightly above the norm. Model agreement and stable conditions explain the strong market weighting toward 22°C (53.5%) and 23°C (36.5%), with limited probability mass on 21°C or 24°C reflecting minor ensemble spread and typical observational uncertainty on resolution day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on September 17?
22°C 54%
23°C 36%
21°C 10%
24°C 3%
$29,921 ปริมาณ
$29,921 ปริมาณ
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
10%
22°C
54%
23°C
36%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 54%
23°C 36%
21°C 10%
24°C 3%
$29,921 ปริมาณ
$29,921 ปริมาณ
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
10%
22°C
54%
23°C
36%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Consensus forecasts from Météo-France, GFS, and ECMWF point to a daytime maximum of 22–23°C in Paris on September 17, 2026, supported by the arrival of cooler northwest maritime air and increased cloud cover that limits surface heating.** This follows a warmer September 15 peak near 31°C and aligns closely with the late-September climatological average high of roughly 21.4°C at stations like Paris-Le Bourget. Light to moderate southwesterly winds, partly cloudy to overcast skies, and low precipitation chances (under 20–30%) further constrain the diurnal range, keeping values near or slightly above the norm. Model agreement and stable conditions explain the strong market weighting toward 22°C (53.5%) and 23°C (36.5%), with limited probability mass on 21°C or 24°C reflecting minor ensemble spread and typical observational uncertainty on resolution day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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