Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF points to a building high-pressure ridge over western Europe, with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime maxima near seasonal norms for late July in Paris. This setup favors 26–28°C as the most probable peak on the 22nd, aligning with market-implied odds clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer mixing depth, which could add or subtract 1–2°C, and any subtle Atlantic moisture advection that might cap temperatures below 27°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, but afternoon observations from nearby stations and updated 12z model runs on the 21st will likely tighten the distribution before resolution. Historical July maxima average ~25°C, so current guidance reflects slightly above-average but not extreme conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on July 22?
Highest temperature in Paris on July 22?
26°C 54%
25°C 23%
27°C 19%
28°C 2.5%
ใหม่
$34,235 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$34,235 ปริมาณ
Jul 22, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
23%
26°C
54%
27°C
19%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 54%
25°C 23%
27°C 19%
28°C 2.5%
ใหม่
$34,235 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$34,235 ปริมาณ
Jul 22, 2026
20°C or below
$276 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$120 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$120 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$1,720 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$2,250 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$8,496 ปริมาณ
23%
26°C
$9,241 ปริมาณ
54%
27°C
$3,902 ปริมาณ
19%
28°C
$4,541 ปริมาณ
3%
29°C
$1,763 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,806 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF points to a building high-pressure ridge over western Europe, with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime maxima near seasonal norms for late July in Paris. This setup favors 26–28°C as the most probable peak on the 22nd, aligning with market-implied odds clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer mixing depth, which could add or subtract 1–2°C, and any subtle Atlantic moisture advection that might cap temperatures below 27°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, but afternoon observations from nearby stations and updated 12z model runs on the 21st will likely tighten the distribution before resolution. Historical July maxima average ~25°C, so current guidance reflects slightly above-average but not extreme conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,235วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF points to a building high-pressure ridge over western Europe, with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime maxima near seasonal norms for late July in Paris. This setup favors 26–28°C as the most probable peak on the 22nd, aligning with market-implied odds clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer mixing depth, which could add or subtract 1–2°C, and any subtle Atlantic moisture advection that might cap temperatures below 27°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, but afternoon observations from nearby stations and updated 12z model runs on the 21st will likely tighten the distribution before resolution. Historical July maxima average ~25°C, so current guidance reflects slightly above-average but not extreme conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,235วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF points to a building high-pressure ridge over western Europe, with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime maxima near seasonal norms for late July in Paris. This setup favors 26–28°C as the most probable peak on the 22nd, aligning with market-implied odds clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer mixing depth, which could add or subtract 1–2°C, and any subtle Atlantic moisture advection that might cap temperatures below 27°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, but afternoon observations from nearby stations and updated 12z model runs on the 21st will likely tighten the distribution before resolution. Historical July maxima average ~25°C, so current guidance reflects slightly above-average but not extreme conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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