Recent PAGASA forecasts and model consensus indicate a highest temperature of 29–30°C for Manila on August 7, 2026, with daily highs projected at 29–32°C amid the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity from the active monsoon trough suppress solar heating and limit peak values compared to clearer periods. This aligns with climatological August averages near 31°C while favoring the lower end due to widespread rain chances. Market-implied odds reflect traders weighting official guidance and short-term model runs showing no significant warming trend or dry spell before resolution. Upcoming PAGASA updates and any overnight model shifts on steering patterns or convection intensity could refine probabilities ahead of the daily maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on August 7?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 7?
29°C 50%
30°C 24%
28°C 22%
31°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 7, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
22%
29°C
50%
30°C
24%
31°C
6%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 50%
30°C 24%
28°C 22%
31°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 7, 2026
24°C or below
$174 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$166 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$232 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$162 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$234 ปริมาณ
22%
29°C
$534 ปริมาณ
50%
30°C
$495 ปริมาณ
24%
31°C
$643 ปริมาณ
6%
32°C
$84 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$89 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C or higher
$190 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts and model consensus indicate a highest temperature of 29–30°C for Manila on August 7, 2026, with daily highs projected at 29–32°C amid the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity from the active monsoon trough suppress solar heating and limit peak values compared to clearer periods. This aligns with climatological August averages near 31°C while favoring the lower end due to widespread rain chances. Market-implied odds reflect traders weighting official guidance and short-term model runs showing no significant warming trend or dry spell before resolution. Upcoming PAGASA updates and any overnight model shifts on steering patterns or convection intensity could refine probabilities ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,002วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts and model consensus indicate a highest temperature of 29–30°C for Manila on August 7, 2026, with daily highs projected at 29–32°C amid the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity from the active monsoon trough suppress solar heating and limit peak values compared to clearer periods. This aligns with climatological August averages near 31°C while favoring the lower end due to widespread rain chances. Market-implied odds reflect traders weighting official guidance and short-term model runs showing no significant warming trend or dry spell before resolution. Upcoming PAGASA updates and any overnight model shifts on steering patterns or convection intensity could refine probabilities ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,002วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA forecasts and model consensus indicate a highest temperature of 29–30°C for Manila on August 7, 2026, with daily highs projected at 29–32°C amid the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity from the active monsoon trough suppress solar heating and limit peak values compared to clearer periods. This aligns with climatological August averages near 31°C while favoring the lower end due to widespread rain chances. Market-implied odds reflect traders weighting official guidance and short-term model runs showing no significant warming trend or dry spell before resolution. Upcoming PAGASA updates and any overnight model shifts on steering patterns or convection intensity could refine probabilities ahead of the daily maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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