Current Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a maximum of 23–24°C for London on September 12 under partly cloudy skies with a moderate southwesterly flow. This setup favors daytime warming above the 1991–2020 climatological high of 20.5°C through warm-air advection and solar insolation during peak heating hours, while variable cloud cover and possible late-day showers introduce uncertainty in the precise peak. The closely matched market probabilities around 23°C and 24°C reflect this narrow forecast spread, with limited upside risk for 25°C or higher given the timing of any frontal cloud and typical urban heat-island modulation in central London. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on September 12?
Highest temperature in London on September 12?
23°C 36%
24°C 35%
25°C 14%
22°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
6%
22°C
11%
23°C
36%
24°C
35%
25°C
14%
26°C
6%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 36%
24°C 35%
25°C 14%
22°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
17°C or below
$233 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$131 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$56 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$158 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$243 ปริมาณ
6%
22°C
$274 ปริมาณ
11%
23°C
$712 ปริมาณ
36%
24°C
$729 ปริมาณ
35%
25°C
$219 ปริมาณ
14%
26°C
$147 ปริมาณ
6%
27°C or higher
$149 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a maximum of 23–24°C for London on September 12 under partly cloudy skies with a moderate southwesterly flow. This setup favors daytime warming above the 1991–2020 climatological high of 20.5°C through warm-air advection and solar insolation during peak heating hours, while variable cloud cover and possible late-day showers introduce uncertainty in the precise peak. The closely matched market probabilities around 23°C and 24°C reflect this narrow forecast spread, with limited upside risk for 25°C or higher given the timing of any frontal cloud and typical urban heat-island modulation in central London. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,045วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a maximum of 23–24°C for London on September 12 under partly cloudy skies with a moderate southwesterly flow. This setup favors daytime warming above the 1991–2020 climatological high of 20.5°C through warm-air advection and solar insolation during peak heating hours, while variable cloud cover and possible late-day showers introduce uncertainty in the precise peak. The closely matched market probabilities around 23°C and 24°C reflect this narrow forecast spread, with limited upside risk for 25°C or higher given the timing of any frontal cloud and typical urban heat-island modulation in central London. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,045วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a maximum of 23–24°C for London on September 12 under partly cloudy skies with a moderate southwesterly flow. This setup favors daytime warming above the 1991–2020 climatological high of 20.5°C through warm-air advection and solar insolation during peak heating hours, while variable cloud cover and possible late-day showers introduce uncertainty in the precise peak. The closely matched market probabilities around 23°C and 24°C reflect this narrow forecast spread, with limited upside risk for 25°C or higher given the timing of any frontal cloud and typical urban heat-island modulation in central London. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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