Forecast models for Chengdu on September 14 show high temperatures clustered in the mid-20s Celsius, with several runs indicating 25–26°C under mostly cloudy skies and a 50–60% chance of light rain or showers. This range aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds for 25°C and 26°C as top outcomes, reflecting modest cooling from persistent cloud cover and precipitation that limits daytime heating compared to clearer conditions. Recent observations of cooler, moist air masses over the Sichuan Basin contribute to this setup, while model spread—some projecting nearer 22–23°C and others 27°C—introduces the uncertainty captured in the distribution of lower-probability bins. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these projections ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 14?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 14?
25°C 30%
26°C 27%
24°C 19%
27°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
4%
23°C
8%
24°C
19%
25°C
30%
26°C
27%
27°C
14%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
25°C 30%
26°C 27%
24°C 19%
27°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
$164 ปริมาณ
4%
23°C
$163 ปริมาณ
8%
24°C
$675 ปริมาณ
19%
25°C
$146 ปริมาณ
30%
26°C
$240 ปริมาณ
27%
27°C
$243 ปริมาณ
14%
28°C
$161 ปริมาณ
6%
29°C
$214 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$156 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$168 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Chengdu on September 14 show high temperatures clustered in the mid-20s Celsius, with several runs indicating 25–26°C under mostly cloudy skies and a 50–60% chance of light rain or showers. This range aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds for 25°C and 26°C as top outcomes, reflecting modest cooling from persistent cloud cover and precipitation that limits daytime heating compared to clearer conditions. Recent observations of cooler, moist air masses over the Sichuan Basin contribute to this setup, while model spread—some projecting nearer 22–23°C and others 27°C—introduces the uncertainty captured in the distribution of lower-probability bins. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,311วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Chengdu on September 14 show high temperatures clustered in the mid-20s Celsius, with several runs indicating 25–26°C under mostly cloudy skies and a 50–60% chance of light rain or showers. This range aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds for 25°C and 26°C as top outcomes, reflecting modest cooling from persistent cloud cover and precipitation that limits daytime heating compared to clearer conditions. Recent observations of cooler, moist air masses over the Sichuan Basin contribute to this setup, while model spread—some projecting nearer 22–23°C and others 27°C—introduces the uncertainty captured in the distribution of lower-probability bins. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,311วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Chengdu on September 14 show high temperatures clustered in the mid-20s Celsius, with several runs indicating 25–26°C under mostly cloudy skies and a 50–60% chance of light rain or showers. This range aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds for 25°C and 26°C as top outcomes, reflecting modest cooling from persistent cloud cover and precipitation that limits daytime heating compared to clearer conditions. Recent observations of cooler, moist air masses over the Sichuan Basin contribute to this setup, while model spread—some projecting nearer 22–23°C and others 27°C—introduces the uncertainty captured in the distribution of lower-probability bins. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these projections ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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