Traders have settled on the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest consensus for Elon Musk's X activity across August 31–September 2, driven by his established mid-week posting rhythm of roughly 15–20 posts daily absent major news catalysts. Recent patterns show consistent engagement around Tesla autonomy milestones and xAI product updates rather than the prolonged threads or rapid-reply bursts that push totals higher. Lower odds on 65+ counts reflect limited expectation of weekend spillover or sudden viral moments, while the notable probability on sub-40 totals accounts for possible lighter activity during a routine early-September stretch. Any last-minute company announcements or external events could still shift volume before the period closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว40-64 49%
65-89 25%
<40 21%
90-114 6%
<40
21%
40-64
49%
65-89
25%
90-114
6%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 49%
65-89 25%
<40 21%
90-114 6%
<40
21%
40-64
49%
65-89
25%
90-114
6%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Traders have settled on the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest consensus for Elon Musk's X activity across August 31–September 2, driven by his established mid-week posting rhythm of roughly 15–20 posts daily absent major news catalysts. Recent patterns show consistent engagement around Tesla autonomy milestones and xAI product updates rather than the prolonged threads or rapid-reply bursts that push totals higher. Lower odds on 65+ counts reflect limited expectation of weekend spillover or sudden viral moments, while the notable probability on sub-40 totals accounts for possible lighter activity during a routine early-September stretch. Any last-minute company announcements or external events could still shift volume before the period closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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