**Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in the US began with the first confirmed livestock case in a Texas calf on June 3, 2026, followed by additional animal cases primarily in Texas counties and one canine detection in New Mexico’s Lea County.** USDA-APHIS data through late July 2026 show 37 domestically acquired animal cases total, with the New Mexico detection classified as a non-livestock companion animal and now inactive. Official surveillance includes over 100 border traps, examination of more than 6,600 wildlife specimens with no further wild-fly positives reported, and active infested-zone management focused on wound treatment and sterile-insect technique releases. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of containment success via these measures versus risks of northward spread through livestock movement, wildlife, or undetected cases near the Mexico border. Key upcoming catalysts include updated APHIS dashboards, state zone status releases, and port reopening decisions such as the planned August 2026 reopening of the Douglas, AZ livestock port after risk evaluation. Authoritative sources emphasize that confirmed livestock cases beyond Texas would require new positive identifications meeting USDA diagnostic criteria.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วConfirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
August 30
36%
October 31
46%
December 31
55%
$4,347 ปริมาณ
August 30
36%
October 31
46%
December 31
55%
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in the US began with the first confirmed livestock case in a Texas calf on June 3, 2026, followed by additional animal cases primarily in Texas counties and one canine detection in New Mexico’s Lea County.** USDA-APHIS data through late July 2026 show 37 domestically acquired animal cases total, with the New Mexico detection classified as a non-livestock companion animal and now inactive. Official surveillance includes over 100 border traps, examination of more than 6,600 wildlife specimens with no further wild-fly positives reported, and active infested-zone management focused on wound treatment and sterile-insect technique releases. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of containment success via these measures versus risks of northward spread through livestock movement, wildlife, or undetected cases near the Mexico border. Key upcoming catalysts include updated APHIS dashboards, state zone status releases, and port reopening decisions such as the planned August 2026 reopening of the Douglas, AZ livestock port after risk evaluation. Authoritative sources emphasize that confirmed livestock cases beyond Texas would require new positive identifications meeting USDA diagnostic criteria.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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