The open CA-38 seat, redrawn under Proposition 50 to cover Democratic-leaning areas from El Monte through eastern Anaheim with a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by roughly eight points, advanced Hilda Solis over other Democratic primary contenders and Republican Pedro Casas in the June 2 top-two contest. Solis's established profile as a longtime elected official and former cabinet member has consolidated support in a district where Democrats have historically won by wide margins. Trader pricing at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with the Cook Political Report's Solid D rating and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal involving the Democratic candidate, a dramatic national political realignment before November, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this safely partisan district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-38 House Election Winner
CA-38 House Election Winner
$59,056 ปริมาณ
$59,056 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
2%
$59,056 ปริมาณ
$59,056 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$29,458 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$29,599 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open CA-38 seat, redrawn under Proposition 50 to cover Democratic-leaning areas from El Monte through eastern Anaheim with a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by roughly eight points, advanced Hilda Solis over other Democratic primary contenders and Republican Pedro Casas in the June 2 top-two contest. Solis's established profile as a longtime elected official and former cabinet member has consolidated support in a district where Democrats have historically won by wide margins. Trader pricing at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with the Cook Political Report's Solid D rating and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal involving the Democratic candidate, a dramatic national political realignment before November, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this safely partisan district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$59,056วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open CA-38 seat, redrawn under Proposition 50 to cover Democratic-leaning areas from El Monte through eastern Anaheim with a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by roughly eight points, advanced Hilda Solis over other Democratic primary contenders and Republican Pedro Casas in the June 2 top-two contest. Solis's established profile as a longtime elected official and former cabinet member has consolidated support in a district where Democrats have historically won by wide margins. Trader pricing at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with the Cook Political Report's Solid D rating and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal involving the Democratic candidate, a dramatic national political realignment before November, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this safely partisan district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$59,056วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open CA-38 seat, redrawn under Proposition 50 to cover Democratic-leaning areas from El Monte through eastern Anaheim with a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by roughly eight points, advanced Hilda Solis over other Democratic primary contenders and Republican Pedro Casas in the June 2 top-two contest. Solis's established profile as a longtime elected official and former cabinet member has consolidated support in a district where Democrats have historically won by wide margins. Trader pricing at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with the Cook Political Report's Solid D rating and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal involving the Democratic candidate, a dramatic national political realignment before November, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this safely partisan district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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