The district's overwhelming Democratic voter registration advantage and consistent rating as a safe seat by forecasters underpin the market's strong consensus. Nancy Pelosi's retirement opened the race, but the June 2026 top-two primary produced a November matchup between Democrats Scott Wiener and Connie Chan after they captured the top spots with combined support exceeding 70 percent, while Republican candidates remained below 8 percent combined. This structure ensures the winner will be a Democrat regardless of the general-election outcome. Limited Republican infrastructure, fundraising gaps, and the absence of competitive challengers in a San Francisco-centered district further reinforce trader positioning. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as candidate withdrawal due to scandal or health issues.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-11 House Election Winner
CA-11 House Election Winner
$11,420 ปริมาณ
$11,420 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
2%
$11,420 ปริมาณ
$11,420 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,493 ปริมาณ
97%
Republican Party
$4,927 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's overwhelming Democratic voter registration advantage and consistent rating as a safe seat by forecasters underpin the market's strong consensus. Nancy Pelosi's retirement opened the race, but the June 2026 top-two primary produced a November matchup between Democrats Scott Wiener and Connie Chan after they captured the top spots with combined support exceeding 70 percent, while Republican candidates remained below 8 percent combined. This structure ensures the winner will be a Democrat regardless of the general-election outcome. Limited Republican infrastructure, fundraising gaps, and the absence of competitive challengers in a San Francisco-centered district further reinforce trader positioning. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as candidate withdrawal due to scandal or health issues.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,420วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's overwhelming Democratic voter registration advantage and consistent rating as a safe seat by forecasters underpin the market's strong consensus. Nancy Pelosi's retirement opened the race, but the June 2026 top-two primary produced a November matchup between Democrats Scott Wiener and Connie Chan after they captured the top spots with combined support exceeding 70 percent, while Republican candidates remained below 8 percent combined. This structure ensures the winner will be a Democrat regardless of the general-election outcome. Limited Republican infrastructure, fundraising gaps, and the absence of competitive challengers in a San Francisco-centered district further reinforce trader positioning. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as candidate withdrawal due to scandal or health issues.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,420วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's overwhelming Democratic voter registration advantage and consistent rating as a safe seat by forecasters underpin the market's strong consensus. Nancy Pelosi's retirement opened the race, but the June 2026 top-two primary produced a November matchup between Democrats Scott Wiener and Connie Chan after they captured the top spots with combined support exceeding 70 percent, while Republican candidates remained below 8 percent combined. This structure ensures the winner will be a Democrat regardless of the general-election outcome. Limited Republican infrastructure, fundraising gaps, and the absence of competitive challengers in a San Francisco-centered district further reinforce trader positioning. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as candidate withdrawal due to scandal or health issues.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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