The crowded field for the Baja California Sur governorship keeps probabilities tightly clustered, with Guadalupe Saldaña Cisneros holding the highest implied probability at 44% and the next tier of contenders clustered in the low-to-mid 30s. Traders reflect an early-stage race where major parties have yet to finalize nominees or form coalitions, leaving outcomes dependent on internal selection processes and potential alliances ahead of the 2027 vote. Limited recent polling and absence of dominant endorsements or scandals sustain this fragmentation, while scheduled party conventions and any emerging survey data in the coming months could consolidate support and widen gaps among the listed candidates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGuadalupe Saldaña Cisneros 89%
Fabricio del Castillo 43%
José Rigoberto Mares Aguilar 41%
Roxana Higuera 35%

Guadalupe Saldaña Cisneros
89%

Fabricio del Castillo
43%

José Rigoberto Mares Aguilar
41%

Roxana Higuera
35%

Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias
34%

Juan Alberto Valdivia Alvarado
33%

Susana Zataraín García
33%

José Saúl González Núñez
32%

Edith Aguilar Villavicencio
32%

Jesús Alberto Alvarado Aragón
32%

Manuel Cota Cárdenas
31%

Ricardo Barroso Agramont
31%

Diana Von Borstel Luna
31%

Antonio Manríquez
19%

Milena Quiroga Romero
16%

Christian Agúndez Gómez
16%
Guadalupe Saldaña Cisneros 89%
Fabricio del Castillo 43%
José Rigoberto Mares Aguilar 41%
Roxana Higuera 35%

Guadalupe Saldaña Cisneros
89%

Fabricio del Castillo
43%

José Rigoberto Mares Aguilar
41%

Roxana Higuera
35%

Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias
34%

Juan Alberto Valdivia Alvarado
33%

Susana Zataraín García
33%

José Saúl González Núñez
32%

Edith Aguilar Villavicencio
32%

Jesús Alberto Alvarado Aragón
32%

Manuel Cota Cárdenas
31%

Ricardo Barroso Agramont
31%

Diana Von Borstel Luna
31%

Antonio Manríquez
19%

Milena Quiroga Romero
16%

Christian Agúndez Gómez
16%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California Sur and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 7:18 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California Sur and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded field for the Baja California Sur governorship keeps probabilities tightly clustered, with Guadalupe Saldaña Cisneros holding the highest implied probability at 44% and the next tier of contenders clustered in the low-to-mid 30s. Traders reflect an early-stage race where major parties have yet to finalize nominees or form coalitions, leaving outcomes dependent on internal selection processes and potential alliances ahead of the 2027 vote. Limited recent polling and absence of dominant endorsements or scandals sustain this fragmentation, while scheduled party conventions and any emerging survey data in the coming months could consolidate support and widen gaps among the listed candidates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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