Valve's unpredictable hero cadence, with typical gaps of eight to twelve months since the post-7.00 era, underpins the 63% implied probability for a new Dota 2 hero by year-end. Largo, the bard-frog support, arrived in December 2025 after a 403-day wait from Kez, placing the community roughly nine months into the next cycle by early September 2026. Major 2026 events including the June Dark Carnival update and The International in August yielded no new playable character, yet datamined assets for Arjun—a chariot-themed figure—signal ongoing development. Traders weigh Valve's history of surprise drops against the absence of official teases or guild-like precursor signals, leaving room for an upset if the studio extends its recent drought into the final quarter.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоValve выпустит нового героя Dota 2 к 31 декабря?
Valve выпустит нового героя Dota 2 к 31 декабря?
Да
63% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
63% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases a new hero for Dota 2 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Valve's unpredictable hero cadence, with typical gaps of eight to twelve months since the post-7.00 era, underpins the 63% implied probability for a new Dota 2 hero by year-end. Largo, the bard-frog support, arrived in December 2025 after a 403-day wait from Kez, placing the community roughly nine months into the next cycle by early September 2026. Major 2026 events including the June Dark Carnival update and The International in August yielded no new playable character, yet datamined assets for Arjun—a chariot-themed figure—signal ongoing development. Traders weigh Valve's history of surprise drops against the absence of official teases or guild-like precursor signals, leaving room for an upset if the studio extends its recent drought into the final quarter.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases a new hero for Dota 2 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:02 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases a new hero for Dota 2 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Valve's unpredictable hero cadence, with typical gaps of eight to twelve months since the post-7.00 era, underpins the 63% implied probability for a new Dota 2 hero by year-end. Largo, the bard-frog support, arrived in December 2025 after a 403-day wait from Kez, placing the community roughly nine months into the next cycle by early September 2026. Major 2026 events including the June Dark Carnival update and The International in August yielded no new playable character, yet datamined assets for Arjun—a chariot-themed figure—signal ongoing development. Traders weigh Valve's history of surprise drops against the absence of official teases or guild-like precursor signals, leaving room for an upset if the studio extends its recent drought into the final quarter.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases a new hero for Dota 2 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:02 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Valve's unpredictable hero cadence, with typical gaps of eight to twelve months since the post-7.00 era, underpins the 63% implied probability for a new Dota 2 hero by year-end. Largo, the bard-frog support, arrived in December 2025 after a 403-day wait from Kez, placing the community roughly nine months into the next cycle by early September 2026. Major 2026 events including the June Dark Carnival update and The International in August yielded no new playable character, yet datamined assets for Arjun—a chariot-themed figure—signal ongoing development. Traders weigh Valve's history of surprise drops against the absence of official teases or guild-like precursor signals, leaving room for an upset if the studio extends its recent drought into the final quarter.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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