**Lacy and Marlon’s ongoing gaming marathon, launched September 1, 2026, features a single continuous stream requiring consecutive completions of Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft Hardcore without restarts.** The near-even split between the 50-99 (46.5%) and sub-50 (45.0%) buckets stems from uncertainty over their combined Warzone death total in this endurance format. Lacy’s established competitive Fortnite pedigree, including an FNCS title, supports expectations of disciplined positioning and lower death rates, yet the marathon’s fatigue, coordination demands, and back-to-back scheduling introduce meaningful variability. Their prior endurance sessions and recent roughly 25-hour completion of the Warzone-Fortnite segments further tighten the implied probabilities, reflecting trader consensus on a competitive but not dominant showing in the battle royale portion.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено50-99 47%
<50 46%
100-149 9%
150-199 3.5%
НОВОЕ
$33,094 Объем
НОВОЕ
$33,094 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
<50
46%
50-99
47%
100-149
9%
150-199
4%
200-249
2%
250-299
3%
300-349
1%
350-399
2%
400-449
1%
450-499
1%
500+
1%
50-99 47%
<50 46%
100-149 9%
150-199 3.5%
НОВОЕ
$33,094 Объем
НОВОЕ
$33,094 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
<50
$15,733 Объем
46%
50-99
$9,188 Объем
47%
100-149
$3,152 Объем
9%
150-199
$1,608 Объем
4%
200-249
$376 Объем
2%
250-299
$516 Объем
3%
300-349
$504 Объем
1%
350-399
$504 Объем
2%
400-449
$504 Объем
1%
450-499
$504 Объем
1%
500+
$504 Объем
1%
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.**Lacy and Marlon’s ongoing gaming marathon, launched September 1, 2026, features a single continuous stream requiring consecutive completions of Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft Hardcore without restarts.** The near-even split between the 50-99 (46.5%) and sub-50 (45.0%) buckets stems from uncertainty over their combined Warzone death total in this endurance format. Lacy’s established competitive Fortnite pedigree, including an FNCS title, supports expectations of disciplined positioning and lower death rates, yet the marathon’s fatigue, coordination demands, and back-to-back scheduling introduce meaningful variability. Their prior endurance sessions and recent roughly 25-hour completion of the Warzone-Fortnite segments further tighten the implied probabilities, reflecting trader consensus on a competitive but not dominant showing in the battle royale portion.
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET
Объем
$33,094Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.twitch.tv/lacyКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.**Lacy and Marlon’s ongoing gaming marathon, launched September 1, 2026, features a single continuous stream requiring consecutive completions of Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft Hardcore without restarts.** The near-even split between the 50-99 (46.5%) and sub-50 (45.0%) buckets stems from uncertainty over their combined Warzone death total in this endurance format. Lacy’s established competitive Fortnite pedigree, including an FNCS title, supports expectations of disciplined positioning and lower death rates, yet the marathon’s fatigue, coordination demands, and back-to-back scheduling introduce meaningful variability. Their prior endurance sessions and recent roughly 25-hour completion of the Warzone-Fortnite segments further tighten the implied probabilities, reflecting trader consensus on a competitive but not dominant showing in the battle royale portion.
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
Объем
$33,094Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.twitch.tv/lacyКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Lacy and Marlon’s ongoing gaming marathon, launched September 1, 2026, features a single continuous stream requiring consecutive completions of Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft Hardcore without restarts.** The near-even split between the 50-99 (46.5%) and sub-50 (45.0%) buckets stems from uncertainty over their combined Warzone death total in this endurance format. Lacy’s established competitive Fortnite pedigree, including an FNCS title, supports expectations of disciplined positioning and lower death rates, yet the marathon’s fatigue, coordination demands, and back-to-back scheduling introduce meaningful variability. Their prior endurance sessions and recent roughly 25-hour completion of the Warzone-Fortnite segments further tighten the implied probabilities, reflecting trader consensus on a competitive but not dominant showing in the battle royale portion.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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