Lacy and Marlon launched their continuous multi-game marathon on September 1, requiring back-to-back completions of Fortnite, Warzone, and Minecraft Hardcore on a single stream. Lacy’s FNCS championship pedigree in Fortnite supports expectations of efficient play and controlled death totals during that segment, while Marlon’s Minecraft expertise and their prior four-day Minecraft run plus 22-hour Chained Together session (47 falls) provide relevant endurance context. With the stream roughly 33 hours in and still active, trader consensus remains split across mid-range buckets because early coordination, fatigue accumulation, and the no-restart rule introduce variable pacing and error rates that keep implied probabilities tightly contested.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено100+ 27%
40-49 18%
70-79 17%
50-59 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 сент. 2026 г.
<40
3%
40-49
18%
50-59
16%
60-69
6%
70-79
17%
80-89
4%
90-99
8%
100+
27%
100+ 27%
40-49 18%
70-79 17%
50-59 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 сент. 2026 г.
<40
$604 Объем
3%
40-49
$355 Объем
18%
50-59
$151 Объем
16%
60-69
$466 Объем
6%
70-79
$432 Объем
17%
80-89
$491 Объем
4%
90-99
$106 Объем
8%
100+
$1,196 Объем
27%
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and Youtube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.Lacy and Marlon launched their continuous multi-game marathon on September 1, requiring back-to-back completions of Fortnite, Warzone, and Minecraft Hardcore on a single stream. Lacy’s FNCS championship pedigree in Fortnite supports expectations of efficient play and controlled death totals during that segment, while Marlon’s Minecraft expertise and their prior four-day Minecraft run plus 22-hour Chained Together session (47 falls) provide relevant endurance context. With the stream roughly 33 hours in and still active, trader consensus remains split across mid-range buckets because early coordination, fatigue accumulation, and the no-restart rule introduce variable pacing and error rates that keep implied probabilities tightly contested.
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and Youtube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and Youtube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 10:43 PM ET
Объем
$3,802Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 10:43 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.twitch.tv/lacyКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and Youtube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.Lacy and Marlon launched their continuous multi-game marathon on September 1, requiring back-to-back completions of Fortnite, Warzone, and Minecraft Hardcore on a single stream. Lacy’s FNCS championship pedigree in Fortnite supports expectations of efficient play and controlled death totals during that segment, while Marlon’s Minecraft expertise and their prior four-day Minecraft run plus 22-hour Chained Together session (47 falls) provide relevant endurance context. With the stream roughly 33 hours in and still active, trader consensus remains split across mid-range buckets because early coordination, fatigue accumulation, and the no-restart rule introduce variable pacing and error rates that keep implied probabilities tightly contested.
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and Youtube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and Youtube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
Объем
$3,802Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 10:43 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.twitch.tv/lacyКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Lacy and Marlon launched their continuous multi-game marathon on September 1, requiring back-to-back completions of Fortnite, Warzone, and Minecraft Hardcore on a single stream. Lacy’s FNCS championship pedigree in Fortnite supports expectations of efficient play and controlled death totals during that segment, while Marlon’s Minecraft expertise and their prior four-day Minecraft run plus 22-hour Chained Together session (47 falls) provide relevant endurance context. With the stream roughly 33 hours in and still active, trader consensus remains split across mid-range buckets because early coordination, fatigue accumulation, and the no-restart rule introduce variable pacing and error rates that keep implied probabilities tightly contested.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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