Lula da Silva publicly announced his intention to seek a fourth presidential term in October 2025, and the Workers’ Party has aligned behind the incumbent as its standard-bearer for the October 2026 election. Party conventions are scheduled for late July through early August, with the formal candidate registration deadline falling on August 15. No significant internal opposition or eligibility barriers have emerged in recent months, and Lula remains the clear frontrunner in early polling. Traders assign an 81 percent probability to timely nomination because these developments indicate the party is on track to meet the filing requirement without delay.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$32,136 Объем
$32,136 Объем
Да
$32,136 Объем
$32,136 Объем
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 17, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Lula da Silva publicly announced his intention to seek a fourth presidential term in October 2025, and the Workers’ Party has aligned behind the incumbent as its standard-bearer for the October 2026 election. Party conventions are scheduled for late July through early August, with the formal candidate registration deadline falling on August 15. No significant internal opposition or eligibility barriers have emerged in recent months, and Lula remains the clear frontrunner in early polling. Traders assign an 81 percent probability to timely nomination because these developments indicate the party is on track to meet the filing requirement without delay.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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