Recent developments center on the fragile June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding between the US and Iran, which launched a 60-day window for technical talks on the Strait of Hormuz navigation, nuclear inspections and limits, sanctions relief, and a Lebanon deconfliction mechanism. High-level sessions in Switzerland and Qatar produced working groups and communication channels but stalled over implementation disputes, ceasefire violations, and differing accounts of nuclear commitments. Mediators from Qatar and Pakistan continue shuttling messages as the original deadline passed in mid-August without a final accord. Key variables include Iran's demands on regional issues, US insistence on verifiable nuclear steps, and potential extensions or new rounds in neutral venues before December 31. Trader assessments reflect ongoing but uncertain diplomatic momentum amid these unresolved frictions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$304,963 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Стив Виткофф
43%
Джаред Кушнер
42%
Мохаммад Багер Калибаф
42%
Аббас Аракчи
34%
Ишак Дар
31%
Джей Ди Ванс
31%
Казем Гharibabadi
24%
Ник Стюарт
20%
Маджид Тахт-Раванчи
18%
Бадр бин Хамад Аль-Бусаиди
17%
Рафаэль Гросси
17%
Дональд Трамп
14%
Мохаммед бин Абдулрахман Аль Тани
14%
Марко Рубио
13%
Масуд Пезешкиан
13%
Ахмад Вахиди
11%
Пит Хегсет
9%
Эсмаил Каани
7%
Моджтаба Хаменеи
5%
$304,963 Объем
Стив Виткофф
$17,730 Объем
43%
Джаред Кушнер
$14,387 Объем
42%
Мохаммад Багер Калибаф
$11,943 Объем
42%
Аббас Аракчи
$7,573 Объем
34%
Ишак Дар
$17,540 Объем
31%
Джей Ди Ванс
$20,976 Объем
31%
Казем Гharibabadi
$16,478 Объем
24%
Ник Стюарт
$11,128 Объем
20%
Маджид Тахт-Раванчи
$16,946 Объем
18%
Бадр бин Хамад Аль-Бусаиди
$29,145 Объем
17%
Рафаэль Гросси
$18,288 Объем
17%
Дональд Трамп
$7,456 Объем
14%
Мохаммед бин Абдулрахман Аль Тани
$28,743 Объем
14%
Марко Рубио
$13,311 Объем
13%
Масуд Пезешкиан
$19,279 Объем
13%
Ахмад Вахиди
$7,856 Объем
11%
Пит Хегсет
$15,413 Объем
9%
Эсмаил Каани
$10,890 Объем
7%
Моджтаба Хаменеи
$19,880 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent developments center on the fragile June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding between the US and Iran, which launched a 60-day window for technical talks on the Strait of Hormuz navigation, nuclear inspections and limits, sanctions relief, and a Lebanon deconfliction mechanism. High-level sessions in Switzerland and Qatar produced working groups and communication channels but stalled over implementation disputes, ceasefire violations, and differing accounts of nuclear commitments. Mediators from Qatar and Pakistan continue shuttling messages as the original deadline passed in mid-August without a final accord. Key variables include Iran's demands on regional issues, US insistence on verifiable nuclear steps, and potential extensions or new rounds in neutral venues before December 31. Trader assessments reflect ongoing but uncertain diplomatic momentum amid these unresolved frictions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Объем
$304,963Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent developments center on the fragile June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding between the US and Iran, which launched a 60-day window for technical talks on the Strait of Hormuz navigation, nuclear inspections and limits, sanctions relief, and a Lebanon deconfliction mechanism. High-level sessions in Switzerland and Qatar produced working groups and communication channels but stalled over implementation disputes, ceasefire violations, and differing accounts of nuclear commitments. Mediators from Qatar and Pakistan continue shuttling messages as the original deadline passed in mid-August without a final accord. Key variables include Iran's demands on regional issues, US insistence on verifiable nuclear steps, and potential extensions or new rounds in neutral venues before December 31. Trader assessments reflect ongoing but uncertain diplomatic momentum amid these unresolved frictions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$304,963Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments center on the fragile June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding between the US and Iran, which launched a 60-day window for technical talks on the Strait of Hormuz navigation, nuclear inspections and limits, sanctions relief, and a Lebanon deconfliction mechanism. High-level sessions in Switzerland and Qatar produced working groups and communication channels but stalled over implementation disputes, ceasefire violations, and differing accounts of nuclear commitments. Mediators from Qatar and Pakistan continue shuttling messages as the original deadline passed in mid-August without a final accord. Key variables include Iran's demands on regional issues, US insistence on verifiable nuclear steps, and potential extensions or new rounds in neutral venues before December 31. Trader assessments reflect ongoing but uncertain diplomatic momentum amid these unresolved frictions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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